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1. FC Schweinfurt vs Illertissen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern Sachs-Stadion, Schweinfurt
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Heckmann E.
30' Event
Milic D.
52' Event
Qenaj E.

AI Match Summary

Illertissen in this Regionalliga Bayern matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Illertissen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
1. FC Schweinfurt
35%
Draws
52%
Illertissen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Illertissen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Illertissen have won more games recently than 1. FC Schweinfurt.
  • Illertissen are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
1. FC Schweinfurt Clean Sheet 13%
Illertissen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1. FC Schweinfurt Illertissen
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 16
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.54 2.11
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
1. FC Schweinfurt vs Illertissen
0:3
Mar 7, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
1. FC Schweinfurt vs Illertissen
1:0
Aug 30, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs 1. FC Schweinfurt
1:3
Apr 13, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
1. FC Schweinfurt vs Illertissen
0:2
Sep 30, 2023 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs 1. FC Schweinfurt
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1. FC Schweinfurt Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Illertissen Compare

Top Goalscorer Heckmann E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1. FC Schweinfurt 22 / 100
Illertissen 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1. FC Schweinfurt Illertissen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Illertissen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1. FC Schweinfurt found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Illertissen has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

1. FC Schweinfurt went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

1. FC Schweinfurt VS Illertissen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

1. FC Schweinfurt

(Home)
09 Oct
1. FC Schweinfurt
1 : 1
Eltersdorf
02 Oct
Unterhaching
1 : 1
1. FC Schweinfurt
18 Sept
Buchbach
3 : 1
1. FC Schweinfurt
15 Sept
1. FC Schweinfurt
0 : 3
Illertissen
12 Sept
Vfb Eichstatt
1 : 0
1. FC Schweinfurt
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Illertissen

(Away)
10 Oct
Illertissen
1 : 1
Munich 1860
26 Sept
Vilzing
3 : 3
Illertissen
19 Sept
Illertissen
0 : 2
Memmingen
15 Sept
1. FC Schweinfurt
0 : 3
Illertissen
11 Sept
Illertissen
2 : 1
Nurnberg II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 13 8 4 1 26:12 28
2 Memmingen 13 8 3 2 15:7 27
3 Munich 1860 12 5 6 1 25:14 21
4 Unterhaching 12 5 6 1 16:11 21
5 Vfb Eichstatt 13 6 3 4 15:16 21
6 Bayreuth 13 6 1 6 25:18 19
7 Illertissen 12 5 4 3 21:16 19
8 Burghausen 13 5 3 5 30:23 18
9 Vilzing 12 4 5 3 19:19 17
10 Nurnberg II 12 5 1 6 22:17 16
11 Bayern II 12 4 4 4 15:13 16
12 Eltersdorf 12 4 4 4 18:17 16
13 Augsburg II 12 4 3 5 18:26 15
14 1. FC Schweinfurt 12 3 4 5 17:25 13
15 Furth II 12 3 3 6 18:21 12
16 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
17 Ansbach 12 3 1 8 10:26 10
18 TSV Aubstadt 12 2 3 7 16:22 9
19 Landsberg 12 1 5 6 12:23 8
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)