Sport Picks

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Newells Old Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina

Liga Profesional Victor Legrotaglie, Mendoza

Newells Old Boys

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia Mendoza host Newells Old Boys in the Liga Profesional. This one's hard to separate. Newells Old Boys have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Gimnasia Mendoza have conceded 1.25 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Newells Old Boys slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.13, favoring Newells Old Boys. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Gimnasia Mendoza

35%

Draws

38%

Newells Old Boys

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newells Old Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence

Gimnasia Mendoza have won more games recently than Newells Old Boys.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

Gimnasia Mendoza Clean Sheet 21%

Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gimnasia Mendoza	Newells Old Boys
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	10	7
Draws	6	11
Losses	12	11
Goals Scored	1	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.31
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga Profesional

Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia Mendoza

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia Mendoza 37 / 100

Newells Old Boys 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gimnasia Mendoza Newells Old Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newells Old Boys Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia Mendoza scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Newells Old Boys let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Gimnasia Mendoza remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia Mendoza VS Newells Old Boys

1.63 Goals Scored 1.25

1 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History