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11 Deportivo vs Alianza FC

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Salazar C.
46' Event
Rodriguez A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2024/2025 game between 11 Deportivo and Alianza FC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
11 Deportivo
11%
Draws
80%
Alianza FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Alianza FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza FC come out ahead of 11 Deportivo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Alianza FC's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alianza FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
11 Deportivo Clean Sheet 16%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 11 Deportivo Alianza FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Alianza FC
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs 11 Deportivo
3:0
Oct 20, 2024 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs 11 Deportivo
3:0
Aug 18, 2024 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Alianza FC
1:1
May 12, 2024 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs 11 Deportivo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

11 Deportivo Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Alianza FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Salazar C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

11 Deportivo 11 / 100
Alianza FC 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
11 Deportivo Alianza FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

11 Deportivo found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Alianza FC has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

11 Deportivo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alianza FC
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

11 Deportivo

(Home)
03 May
11 Deportivo
0 : 2
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Aguila
3 : 1
11 Deportivo
24 Apr
11 Deportivo
1 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
17 Apr
11 Deportivo
2 : 2
FAS
13 Apr
11 Deportivo
0 : 1
Dragon
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Alianza FC

(Away)
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
06 May
Aguila
2 : 1
Alianza FC
01 May
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 1
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Alianza FC
4 : 2
Zacatecoluca FC
21 Apr
Metapan
1 : 1
Alianza FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aguila20134337:1743
2Luis Angel Firpo20116334:1639
3Alianza FC20123528:1139
4Metapan2098322:1335
5Municipal Limeno2069521:2027
6Cacahuatique2069518:2427
7Fuerte San Francisco2066815:2024
8FAS2057817:2322
9Platense Municipal20551018:2520
10Dragon20421417:3014
1111 Deportivo20151412:408
Promotion - Primera Division 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)