Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa de Primera. Little to choose between these two on current form. Cerro Porteno have averaged 0.63 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Sportivo Trinidense's 1.38 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Cerro Porteno have won 2 to Sportivo Trinidense's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.19, favoring Cerro Porteno. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cerro Porteno
28%
Draws
22%
Sportivo Trinidense
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sportivo Trinidense haven't matched Cerro Porteno's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cerro Porteno a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Cerro Porteno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cerro Porteno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 20%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerro Porteno Sportivo Trinidense
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 12
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:3
Apr 20, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerro Porteno 49 / 100
Sportivo Trinidense 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerro Porteno Sportivo Trinidense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerro Porteno scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Sportivo Trinidense let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Cerro Porteno stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerro Porteno VS Sportivo Trinidense
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerro Porteno

(Home)
28 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0
Sporting Cristal
24 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0
Rubio Nu
21 May
Palmeiras
0 : 1
Cerro Porteno
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1
Cerro Porteno
11 May
Cerro Porteno
0 : 0
Guarani
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Sportivo Trinidense

(Away)
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2
Sportivo Trinidense
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1
Cerro Porteno
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1
Sportivo Trinidense
01 May
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2
2 de Mayo
25 Apr
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1
Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
12 de Mayo00000:00
2Cerro Porteno00000:00
3Guarani00000:00
4Libertad Asuncion00000:00
5Nacional Asuncion00000:00
6Olimpia Asuncion00000:00
7Sp. Luqueno00000:00
8Rubio Nu00000:00
9Sportivo Trinidense00000:00
10San Lorenzo00000:00
11Recoleta00000:00
12Sportivo Ameliano00000:00
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