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Stadium Background

12 de Octubre vs San Lorenzo

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2023 Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

12 de Octubre play San Lorenzo in the Division Intermedia 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, 12 de Octubre averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. San Lorenzo averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, 12 de Octubre won 1, San Lorenzo won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 15, 2023 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for 12 de Octubre and 0.80 for San Lorenzo. This points to a San Lorenzo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
12 de Octubre
24%
Draws
55%
San Lorenzo
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: San Lorenzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • 12 de Octubre picked up more points recently compared to San Lorenzo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
12 de Octubre Clean Sheet 26%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 12 de Octubre San Lorenzo
Matches Played 30 48
Wins 4 20
Draws 7 13
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.83 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.21

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2023 Division Intermedia
12 de Octubre vs San Lorenzo
0:2
Jun 10, 2023 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs 12 de Octubre
1:1
Nov 6, 2020 Copa de Primera
12 de Octubre vs San Lorenzo
0:1
Aug 13, 2020 Copa de Primera
12 de Octubre vs San Lorenzo
1:0
Jan 24, 2020 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs 12 de Octubre
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

12 de Octubre Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivarola F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendieta D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

12 de Octubre 24 / 100
San Lorenzo 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
12 de Octubre San Lorenzo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Lorenzo Win (2)
Secondary Pick San Lorenzo & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

12 de Octubre attacking → ← attacking San Lorenzo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

12 de Octubre scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

San Lorenzo let in goals in 60% of their last 48 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

12 de Octubre went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

San Lorenzo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 73
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sol de America30214546:2567
22 de Mayo30169546:2357
3Independiente FBC30149753:3551
4Recoleta30156959:4551
5Fernando de la Mora301461040:3148
6Rubio Nu301281042:4444
7Deportivo Santani301281041:4344
8Sportivo Carapegua301110943:3143
9Pastoreo301110937:3143
10San Lorenzo301191035:2742
113 de Febrero301161339:4239
12Colegiales30951629:4432
13Martin Ledesma30871530:4131
1424 de Setiembre30781538:5229
15Atyra30751832:5826
1612 de Octubre30282024:6214