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Nueve de Octubre vs Gualaceo Prediction & H2H Stats

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer, Guayaquil
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nueve de Octubre
30%
Draws
39%
Gualaceo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Gualaceo have won more games recently than Nueve de Octubre.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Nueve de Octubre taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 68%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueve de Octubre Gualaceo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 12 9
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.18 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Gualaceo
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Nueve de Octubre
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Nueve de Octubre
1:5
Aug 26, 2025 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Gualaceo
3:0
Jun 27, 2025 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Gualaceo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueve de Octubre 68 / 100
Gualaceo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueve de Octubre Gualaceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nueve de Octubre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nueve de Octubre's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Nueve de Octubre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gualaceo let in goals in 39% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nueve de Octubre VS Gualaceo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueve de Octubre

(Home)
26 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 0
San Antonio
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1
Independiente Juniors
04 Sept
Atletico FC
2 : 2
Nueve de Octubre
28 Aug
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 1
Nueve de Octubre
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Gualaceo

(Away)
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Gualaceo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)