Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nueve de Octubre vs Gualaceo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer, Guayaquil
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Nueve de Octubre
35%
Draws
26%
Gualaceo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nueve de Octubre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Nueve de Octubre have won more games recently than Gualaceo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 68%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 23%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nueve de Octubre Gualaceo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.21 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Gualaceo
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Nueve de Octubre
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Nueve de Octubre
1:5
Aug 26, 2025 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Gualaceo
3:0
Jun 27, 2025 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Gualaceo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nueve de Octubre 41 / 100
Gualaceo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nueve de Octubre Gualaceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nueve de Octubre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nueve de Octubre's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gualaceo conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Nueve de Octubre went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nueve de Octubre VS Gualaceo
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nueve de Octubre

(Home)
06 Aug
EL Nacional
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
30 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
25 Jul
Nueve de Octubre
1 : 0
22 de Julio
16 Jul
Cumbaya
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
11 Jul
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 0
Gualaceo
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Gualaceo

(Away)
06 Aug
San Antonio
2 : 1
Gualaceo
01 Aug
Gualaceo
2 : 3
Independiente Juniors
29 Jul
Gualaceo
2 : 1
Macara
24 Jul
EL Nacional
0 : 0
Gualaceo
18 Jul
Gualaceo
0 : 1
22 de Julio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 20 10 7 3 25:13 37
2 Nueve de Octubre 20 9 8 3 20:12 35
3 Atletico FC 20 8 10 2 22:14 34
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 21 9 7 5 20:20 34
5 Vinotinto 21 8 6 7 25:17 30
6 San Antonio 21 7 9 5 24:21 30
7 Cumbaya 21 5 11 5 22:19 26
8 Dep. Santo Domingo 21 6 9 6 17:16 24
9 LDU Portoviejo 21 6 6 9 15:22 24
10 Gualaceo 20 6 7 7 16:16 19
11 22 de Julio 21 4 3 14 10:29 9
12 EL Nacional 21 2 5 14 14:31 8
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)