Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019

Muglaspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

1461 Trabzon play Muglaspor in the 3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, 1461 Trabzon averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Muglaspor averaged 1.12 goals scored and 0.53 conceded. In past meetings, 1461 Trabzon won 1, Muglaspor won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 16, 2019 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for 1461 Trabzon and 1.30 for Muglaspor. This points to a Muglaspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

1461 Trabzon

20%

Draws

51%

Muglaspor

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Muglaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

1461 Trabzon picked up more points recently compared to Muglaspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 59%

Over 2.5 Goals 32%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

1461 Trabzon Clean Sheet 19%

Muglaspor Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 53%

Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	1461 Trabzon	Muglaspor
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	8	19
Draws	10	8
Losses	12	7
Goals Scored	0.93	1.12
Goals Conceded	1.27	0.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2019 3. Lig Group 3

1461 Trabzon vs Muglaspor

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Sep 30, 2018 3. Lig Group 3

Muglaspor vs 1461 Trabzon

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 0 - 0

1:0

Feb 19, 2018 3. Lig Group 2

1461 Trabzon vs Muglaspor

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Oct 1, 2017 3. Lig Group 2

Muglaspor vs 1461 Trabzon

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1461 Trabzon Compare

Top Goalscorer Temir B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Eren A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Muglaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1461 Trabzon 30 / 100

Muglaspor 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

1461 Trabzon Muglaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Muglaspor or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +23.2%

3.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

1461 Trabzon attacking → ← attacking Muglaspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1461 Trabzon scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Muglaspor let in goals in 38% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

1461 Trabzon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Muglaspor lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 65

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bayburt Ozel Idare	34	20	8	6	48:22	68
2	Kocaelispor	34	17	7	10	40:31	58
3	Karacabey Bld.	34	17	7	10	45:40	58
4	Serik Spor	34	13	13	8	39:36	52
5	Corum FK	34	15	7	12	42:32	52
6	Turgutlu	34	14	7	13	49:47	49
7	24Erzincanspor	34	14	6	14	45:38	48
8	Payasspor	34	14	6	14	32:37	48
9	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	34	11	13	10	40:40	46
10	Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)	34	12	9	13	38:40	45
11	Muglaspor	34	11	9	14	31:33	42
12	Cankaya FK	34	9	14	11	37:35	41
13	Fatsa Bld.	34	9	13	12	32:36	40
14	Cizrespor	34	8	16	10	33:39	40
15	Golcukspor	34	9	13	12	28:32	40
16	1461 Trabzon	34	8	13	13	31:39	37
17	Beykoz Ishakli Spor	34	8	11	15	37:48	35
18	Bucaspor	34	6	10	18	35:57	28