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1461 Trabzon vs Muglaspor Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Temir B.
58' Event
Eren A.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019 game between 1461 Trabzon and Muglaspor finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 1461 Trabzon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
1461 Trabzon
35%
Draws
45%
Muglaspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Muglaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Muglaspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Muglaspor are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Muglaspor have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
1461 Trabzon Clean Sheet 23%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1461 Trabzon Muglaspor
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 15
Draws 10 11
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2019 3. Lig Group 3
1461 Trabzon vs Muglaspor
2:0
Sep 30, 2018 3. Lig Group 3
Muglaspor vs 1461 Trabzon
1:0
Feb 19, 2018 3. Lig Group 2
1461 Trabzon vs Muglaspor
1:2
Oct 1, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Muglaspor vs 1461 Trabzon
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1461 Trabzon Compare

Top Goalscorer Temir B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eren A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Muglaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1461 Trabzon 21 / 100
Muglaspor 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1461 Trabzon Muglaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muglaspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1461 Trabzon's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Muglaspor has conceded goals in 48% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: 1461 Trabzon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Muglaspor
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

1461 Trabzon

(Home)
04 May
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
1461 Trabzon
28 Apr
1461 Trabzon
2 : 2
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
21 Apr
Buyukcekmece Gucu
2 : 1
1461 Trabzon
14 Apr
1461 Trabzon
0 : 2
Serik Spor
07 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 2
1461 Trabzon
Page 1 of 6

Muglaspor

(Away)
18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Igdir FK
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
06 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Vanspor FK
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
28 Aug
Muglaspor
2 : 0
Boluspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayburt Ozel Idare 34 20 8 6 48:22 68
2 Kocaelispor 34 17 7 10 40:31 58
3 Karacabey Bld. 34 17 7 10 45:40 58
4 Serik Spor 34 13 13 8 39:36 52
5 Corum FK 34 15 7 12 42:32 52
6 Turgutlu 34 14 7 13 49:47 49
7 24Erzincanspor 34 14 6 14 45:38 48
8 Payasspor 34 14 6 14 32:37 48
9 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 34 11 13 10 40:40 46
10 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 34 12 9 13 38:40 45
11 Muglaspor 34 11 9 14 31:33 42
12 Cankaya FK 34 9 14 11 37:35 41
13 Fatsa Bld. 34 9 13 12 32:36 40
14 Cizrespor 34 8 16 10 33:39 40
15 Golcukspor 34 9 13 12 28:32 40
16 1461 Trabzon 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
17 Buyukcekmece Gucu 34 8 11 15 37:48 35
18 Bucaspor 34 6 10 18 35:57 28
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)