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1461 Trabzon vs Payasspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

1461 Trabzon play Payasspor in the 3. Lig Group 3 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, 1461 Trabzon averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Payasspor averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. In past meetings, 1461 Trabzon won 0, Payasspor won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 3, 2019 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for 1461 Trabzon and 0.99 for Payasspor. This points to a 1461 Trabzon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
1461 Trabzon
29%
Draws
35%
Payasspor
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: 1461 Trabzon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • 1461 Trabzon picked up more points recently compared to Payasspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
1461 Trabzon Clean Sheet 23%
Payasspor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1461 Trabzon Payasspor
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.91

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2019 3. Lig Group 3
1461 Trabzon vs Payasspor
1:2
Nov 11, 2018 3. Lig Group 3
Payasspor vs 1461 Trabzon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1461 Trabzon Compare

Top Goalscorer Tutuncu F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Payasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Aydin M. A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1461 Trabzon 37 / 100
Payasspor 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1461 Trabzon Payasspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: 1461 Trabzon or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

1461 Trabzon attacking → ← attacking Payasspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1461 Trabzon scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Payasspor let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

1461 Trabzon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Payasspor lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 32
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bayburt Ozel Idare34208648:2268
2Kocaelispor341771040:3158
3Karacabey Bld.341771045:4058
4Serik Spor341313839:3652
5Corum FK341571242:3252
6Turgutlu341471349:4749
724Erzincanspor341461445:3848
8Payasspor341461432:3748
9Beyoglu Yeni Carsi3411131040:4046
10Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)341291338:4045
11Muglaspor341191431:3342
12Cankaya FK349141137:3541
13Fatsa Bld.349131232:3640
14Cizrespor348161033:3940
15Golcukspor349131228:3240
161461 Trabzon348131331:3937
17Beykoz Ishakli Spor348111537:4835
18Bucaspor346101835:5728