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1.FC Nurnberg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

1.FC Nurnberg W host Bayer Leverkusen W in the Bundesliga Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Bayer Leverkusen W have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while 1.FC Nurnberg W have conceded 2.1 and scored 1.9. Past meetings favor Bayer Leverkusen W slightly — 0-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 3.00) point toward Bayer Leverkusen W. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
1.FC Nurnberg W
15%
Draws
64%
Bayer Leverkusen W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayer Leverkusen W come out ahead of 1.FC Nurnberg W on wins alone.
  • 1.FC Nurnberg W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Bayer Leverkusen W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
1.FC Nurnberg W Clean Sheet 10%
Bayer Leverkusen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1.FC Nurnberg W Bayer Leverkusen W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 20
Draws 5 0
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.9 2.34
Goals Conceded 2.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W
4:0
Sep 21, 2025 Bundesliga Women
1.FC Nurnberg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
0:1
Feb 12, 2024 Bundesliga Women
1.FC Nurnberg W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
1:2
Sep 30, 2023 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1.FC Nurnberg W 40 / 100
Bayer Leverkusen W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1.FC Nurnberg W Bayer Leverkusen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

1.FC Nurnberg W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bayer Leverkusen W has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

1.FC Nurnberg W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

1.FC Nurnberg W VS Bayer Leverkusen W
2.63 Goals Scored 3.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

1.FC Nurnberg W

(Home)
04 Oct
1.FC Nurnberg W
1 : 2
Hoffenheim W
27 Sept
Buntentor W
0 : 10
1.FC Nurnberg W
20 Sept
Hamburger W
5 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
12 Sept
RB Leipzig W
2 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
06 Sept
1.FC Nurnberg W
3 : 3
VfB Stuttgart W
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Bayer Leverkusen W

(Away)
02 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen W
3 : 2
Werder Bremen W
27 Sept
Viktoria Berlin W
0 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
20 Sept
Freiburg W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
14 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen W
2 : 3
Bayern Munich W
04 Sept
Hoffenheim W
1 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 6 6 0 0 19:6 18
2 Wolfsburg W 6 5 0 1 18:8 15
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen W 6 4 0 2 12:9 12
5 Werder Bremen W 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Freiburg W 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Koln W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 VfB Stuttgart W 6 2 2 2 8:12 8
9 RB Leipzig W 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
10 Union Berlin W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
11 Hoffenheim W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Hamburger W 6 1 2 3 9:8 5
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 6 0 2 4 9:21 2
14 Mainz W 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)