Sport Picks

Stadium Background

2 de Mayo vs Guarani

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Río Parapití, Pedro Juan Caballero
Tue, Aug 25, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. 2 de Mayo have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Guarani's 1.26 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor 2 de Mayo slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.69, favoring 2 de Mayo. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
2 de Mayo
20%
Draws
28%
Guarani
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: 2 de Mayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • 2 de Mayo have won more games recently than Guarani.
  • Model gives 2 de Mayo a 52% chance of winning this.
  • 2 de Mayo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor 2 de Mayo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 2 de Mayo Guarani
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.32 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
2:2
Mar 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs 2 de Mayo
1:1
Nov 5, 2025 Copa Paraguay
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
1:0
Sep 12, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
1:0
Jul 6, 2025 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs 2 de Mayo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

2 de Mayo 77 / 100
Guarani 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
2 de Mayo Guarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 2 de Mayo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: 2 de Mayo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

2 de Mayo scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Guarani conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

2 de Mayo VS Guarani
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

2 de Mayo

(Home)
20 Aug
Deportivo Humaita FBC
1 : 4
2 de Mayo
14 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2
2 de Mayo
08 Aug
2 de Mayo
1 : 0
Olimpia Asuncion
01 Aug
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1
2 de Mayo
28 Jul
2 de Mayo
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
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Guarani

(Away)
15 Aug
Guarani
2 : 3
Rubio Nu
12 Aug
Sportivo Iteno
2 : 1
Guarani
09 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
0 : 0
Guarani
02 Aug
Guarani
2 : 1
Libertad Asuncion
30 Jul
San Lorenzo
0 : 1
Guarani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 2 de Mayo 5 4 1 0 7:3 13
2 Libertad Asuncion 5 4 0 1 10:5 12
3 Sportivo Trinidense 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
4 Guarani 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
5 Recoleta 5 2 1 2 9:10 7
6 Nacional Asuncion 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
7 Sportivo Ameliano 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
8 Cerro Porteno 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
9 Olimpia Asuncion 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
10 Sp. Luqueno 5 2 0 3 6:10 6
11 Rubio Nu 6 1 2 3 5:12 5
12 San Lorenzo 5 0 1 4 1:8 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)