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2 de Mayo vs Guarani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Río Parapití, Pedro Juan Caballero
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Silvero F. In: Caceres Aguero F. M.
Out: Silvero F.
46'
Sub
Aguilera A. D. In: Portillo Avalos T. G.
Out: Aguilera A. D.
58'
Sub
Gonzalez M. In: Moya M.
Out: Gonzalez M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
2 de Mayo
35%
Draws
37%
Guarani
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • 2 de Mayo have won more games recently than Guarani.
  • Model gives Guarani a 37% chance of winning this.
  • 2 de Mayo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor 2 de Mayo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 17%
Guarani Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 2 de Mayo Guarani
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 12
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
2:2
Mar 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs 2 de Mayo
1:1
Nov 5, 2025 Copa Paraguay
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
1:0
Sep 12, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

2 de Mayo 23 / 100
Guarani 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
2 de Mayo Guarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

2 de Mayo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

2 de Mayo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Guarani conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

2 de Mayo VS Guarani
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

2 de Mayo

(Home)
12 Oct
2 de Mayo
1 : 0
Sportivo Ameliano
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2
2 de Mayo
22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4
Sol de America
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0
2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 6

Guarani

(Away)
11 Oct
Libertad Asuncion
2 : 2
Guarani
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1
Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1
Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 2 de Mayo 14 8 4 2 17:13 28
2 Olimpia Asuncion 14 8 3 3 22:10 27
3 Libertad Asuncion 14 8 3 3 23:16 27
4 Nacional Asuncion 14 7 5 2 21:8 26
5 Sportivo Trinidense 14 7 3 4 24:14 24
6 Guarani 14 5 7 2 16:12 22
7 Cerro Porteno 14 6 2 6 18:14 20
8 Sportivo Ameliano 14 4 6 4 15:16 18
9 Sp. Luqueno 14 4 1 9 14:27 13
10 Rubio Nu 14 3 4 7 15:24 13
11 Recoleta 14 2 2 10 14:27 8
12 San Lorenzo 14 0 4 10 5:23 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)