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Botafogo RJ vs Chapecoense-SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botafogo RJ host Chapecoense-SC in the Serie A Betano. Botafogo RJ are expected to control this from the start. Botafogo RJ have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Chapecoense-SC's 1.14 scored and 1.66 conceded. Head-to-head, Botafogo RJ have won 3 to Chapecoense-SC's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 14, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Botafogo RJ. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Botafogo RJ
35%
Draws
32%
Chapecoense-SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Botafogo RJ a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 20%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo RJ Chapecoense-SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Chapecoense-SC vs Botafogo RJ
2:0
Apr 21, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Botafogo RJ vs Chapecoense-SC
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Botafogo RJ
1:4
Nov 27, 2019 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Botafogo RJ
0:1
Aug 26, 2019 Serie A Betano
Botafogo RJ vs Chapecoense-SC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo RJ 49 / 100
Chapecoense-SC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo RJ Chapecoense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo RJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapecoense-SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Botafogo RJ's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Botafogo RJ remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo RJ VS Chapecoense-SC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo RJ

(Home)
07 Oct
Botafogo RJ
1 : 2
Vasco
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2
Gremio
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Palmeiras
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Chapecoense-SC

(Away)
07 Oct
Vitoria
4 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Internacional
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 29 18 7 4 57:25 61
2 Palmeiras 29 17 9 3 48:21 60
3 Fluminense 29 14 9 6 48:36 51
4 Athletico-PR 29 14 8 7 45:34 50
5 Cruzeiro 29 14 6 9 44:40 48
6 Bahia 29 12 10 7 43:36 46
7 Atletico-MG 29 12 8 9 39:34 44
8 Santos 29 11 9 9 45:43 42
9 Sao Paulo 30 11 6 13 35:35 39
10 Coritiba 29 10 8 11 37:47 38
11 Bragantino 29 10 7 12 34:33 37
12 Vitoria 30 10 6 14 33:44 36
13 Botafogo RJ 29 9 8 12 42:47 35
14 Vasco 29 9 8 12 36:42 35
15 Mirassol 29 8 9 12 34:43 33
16 Corinthians 29 8 8 13 30:34 32
17 Internacional 29 7 10 12 32:37 31
18 Gremio 29 7 9 13 31:39 30
19 Remo 30 5 10 15 33:48 25
20 Chapecoense-SC 28 3 9 16 29:57 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)