Sport Picks

Stadium Background

2 de Mayo vs San Lorenzo

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Río Parapití
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Colman C.
Assist: Alvarez A.
34'
Sub
Riquelme H. In: Delgadillo L.
Out: Riquelme H.
46'
Sub
Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. In: Espinola A.
Out: Rodriguez Echeverria R. O.

AI Match Summary

2 de Mayo host San Lorenzo in the Copa de Primera. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: 2 de Mayo at 1 goals for, 2.38 against; San Lorenzo at 0.75 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, 2 de Mayo have won 2 to San Lorenzo's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.56) back 2 de Mayo to edge this. 2 de Mayo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
2 de Mayo
33%
Draws
27%
San Lorenzo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: 2 de Mayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • 2 de Mayo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to San Lorenzo.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for 2 de Mayo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa de Primera provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 68%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 2 de Mayo San Lorenzo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs San Lorenzo
0:1
Mar 17, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo
1:1
Sep 8, 2023 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo
0:1
Jun 5, 2023 Division Intermedia
2 de Mayo vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Jul 11, 2022 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

2 de Mayo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Colman C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

2 de Mayo 50 / 100
San Lorenzo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
2 de Mayo San Lorenzo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

2 de Mayo scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

San Lorenzo let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

2 de Mayo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Lorenzo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

2 de Mayo VS San Lorenzo
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115