Sport Picks

Stadium Background

22 de Julio vs Atletico FC

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

22 de Julio play Atletico FC in the Serie B. It looks like a close match. Recently, 22 de Julio averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Atletico FC averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, 22 de Julio won 0, Atletico FC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 9, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for 22 de Julio and 1.00 for Atletico FC. This points to a Atletico FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
22 de Julio
33%
Draws
44%
Atletico FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Atletico FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • 22 de Julio picked up more points recently compared to Atletico FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 23%
Atletico FC Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 22 de Julio Atletico FC
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 0.7 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Atletico FC
0:1
Apr 8, 2026 Serie B
Atletico FC vs 22 de Julio
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

22 de Julio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Atletico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cifuentes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

22 de Julio 25 / 100
Atletico FC 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
22 de Julio Atletico FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletico FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

22 de Julio attacking → ← attacking Atletico FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

22 de Julio scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Atletico FC let in goals in 63% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

22 de Julio went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Atletico FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 26
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nueve de Octubre1484218:1028
2Atletico FC1568117:1226
3Independiente Juniors1566317:1124
4Vinotinto1555520:1320
5CD Cuenca Juniors1455416:1820
6San Antonio1447318:1419
7Cumbaya1546518:1618
8Dep. Santo Domingo1556412:1018
9LDU Portoviejo1453613:1818
10Gualaceo1565413:1017
1122 de Julio153398:216
12EL Nacional1504119:261