Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Miramar vs Atenas

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Palermo
Mon, Jul 6, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Miramar play Atenas in the Segunda Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Miramar averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Atenas averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.12 conceded. In past meetings, Miramar won 1, Atenas won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 21, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Miramar and 1.44 for Atenas. This points to a Atenas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Miramar
29%
Draws
46%
Atenas
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Atenas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Miramar picked up more points recently compared to Atenas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Miramar Clean Sheet 16%
Atenas Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Atenas
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 6 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2023 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Atenas
0:1
Jul 8, 2023 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Miramar
0:0
Aug 5, 2022 Segunda Division
Atenas vs Miramar
0:1
May 15, 2022 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Atenas
1:2
Nov 11, 2017 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Atenas
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 26 / 100
Atenas 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Atenas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atenas or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Miramar attacking → ← attacking Atenas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miramar scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Atenas let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Miramar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Atenas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 57
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atenas860216:718
2Cerrito842214:1314
3Tacuarembo84138:813
4Miramar833213:1012
5Huracan FC83328:812
6Club Oriental De Futbol825113:1011
7River Plate Montevideo832312:1311
8Rentistas83237:1011
9Fenix824212:1110
10Plaza Colonia83147:810
11La Luz82426:710
12Colon82337:99
13Uruguay Montevideo FC82159:137
14Paysandu FC81169:144