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22 de Julio vs LDU Portoviejo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

22 de Julio host LDU Portoviejo in the Serie B. This has LDU Portoviejo written all over it on paper. LDU Portoviejo have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while 22 de Julio have conceded 2.07 and scored 0.59. Past meetings favor 22 de Julio slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 24, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (0.44 - 1.88) back LDU Portoviejo to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
22 de Julio
35%
Draws
56%
LDU Portoviejo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: LDU Portoviejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to LDU Portoviejo lately — more wins on the board than 22 de Julio.
  • Win probability leans LDU Portoviejo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 10%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 22 de Julio LDU Portoviejo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 4 10
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 0.59 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.07 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs 22 de Julio
2:2
Aug 21, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs 22 de Julio
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs LDU Portoviejo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

22 de Julio 10 / 100
LDU Portoviejo 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
22 de Julio LDU Portoviejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Portoviejo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: 22 de Julio scored in 38% of their last 29 outings.

LDU Portoviejo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: 22 de Julio stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

22 de Julio VS LDU Portoviejo
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

22 de Julio

(Home)
07 Oct
22 de Julio
2 : 5
EL Nacional
03 Oct
Gualaceo
4 : 2
22 de Julio
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7
Cumbaya
12 Sept
EL Nacional
3 : 0
22 de Julio
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LDU Portoviejo

(Away)
08 Oct
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
03 Oct
LDU Portoviejo
3 : 2
EL Nacional
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
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