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Stadium Background

22 de Julio vs Vinotinto Prediction & H2H Stats

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Rodriguez E.

AI Match Summary

Vinotinto in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vinotinto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
22 de Julio
15%
Draws
80%
Vinotinto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vinotinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Vinotinto have won more games recently than 22 de Julio.
  • Model gives Vinotinto a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 10%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 22 de Julio Vinotinto
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.5 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.82 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Vinotinto
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs 22 de Julio
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

22 de Julio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Vinotinto Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

22 de Julio 10 / 100
Vinotinto 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
22 de Julio Vinotinto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vinotinto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinotinto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

22 de Julio's goal record stands at 36% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

22 de Julio went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

22 de Julio VS Vinotinto
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

22 de Julio

(Home)
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7
Cumbaya
12 Sept
EL Nacional
3 : 0
22 de Julio
04 Sept
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Gualaceo
27 Aug
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
Page 1 of 6

Vinotinto

(Away)
24 Sept
Independiente Juniors
2 : 3
Vinotinto
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
11 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Vinotinto
03 Sept
Vinotinto
4 : 2
San Antonio
27 Aug
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Atletico FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)