Sport Picks

Stadium Background

22 de Julio vs Vinotinto

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

22 de Julio play Vinotinto in the Serie B. It looks like a close match. Recently, 22 de Julio averaged 0.62 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Vinotinto averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, 22 de Julio won 0, Vinotinto won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for 22 de Julio and 1.38 for Vinotinto. This points to a Vinotinto double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
22 de Julio
24%
Draws
46%
Vinotinto
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Vinotinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • 22 de Julio picked up more points recently compared to Vinotinto.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 17%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 21%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 22 de Julio Vinotinto
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.62 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs 22 de Julio
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

22 de Julio 30 / 100
Vinotinto 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
22 de Julio Vinotinto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vinotinto or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

22 de Julio attacking → ← attacking Vinotinto

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

22 de Julio scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Vinotinto let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

22 de Julio went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Vinotinto lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 34
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nueve de Octubre1484218:1028
2Atletico FC1568117:1226
3Independiente Juniors1566317:1124
4Vinotinto1555520:1320
5CD Cuenca Juniors1455416:1820
6San Antonio1447318:1419
7Cumbaya1546518:1618
8Dep. Santo Domingo1556412:1018
9LDU Portoviejo1453613:1818
10Gualaceo1565413:1017
1122 de Julio153398:216
12EL Nacional1504119:261