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26 de Febrero vs Chaco FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
26 de Febrero
15%
Draws
36%
Chaco FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 26 de Febrero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • 26 de Febrero carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • 26 de Febrero have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor 26 de Febrero, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
26 de Febrero Clean Sheet 20%
Chaco FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 26 de Febrero Chaco FC
Matches Played 7 12
Wins 5 3
Draws 0 3
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 2 2.17
Goals Conceded 1 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
26 de Febrero vs Chaco FC
3:2
Aug 29, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Chaco FC vs 26 de Febrero
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

26 de Febrero 32 / 100
Chaco FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
26 de Febrero Chaco FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: 26 de Febrero scored in 86% of their last 7 outings.

Chaco FC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 12 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

26 de Febrero went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

26 de Febrero VS Chaco FC
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 3
71% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

26 de Febrero

(Home)
10 Oct
Fatic
1 : 0
26 de Febrero
27 Sept
Hiska Nacional
0 : 2
26 de Febrero
21 Sept
Ingenieros
0 : 1
26 de Febrero
11 Sept
26 de Febrero
3 : 2
Chaco FC
04 Sept
26 de Febrero
4 : 1
Ingenieros
Page 1 of 2

Chaco FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Chaco FC
6 : 1
Ingenieros
20 Sept
Chaco FC
5 : 1
Hiska Nacional
11 Sept
26 de Febrero
3 : 2
Chaco FC
07 Sept
Hiska Nacional
4 : 2
Chaco FC
29 Aug
Chaco FC
3 : 2
26 de Febrero
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)