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7 de Abril vs Barra Mansa Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Meirelles L.
33' Event
Ferreira O.
64' Event
Silva G.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2025 game between 7 de Abril and Barra Mansa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 7 de Abril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
7 de Abril
30%
Draws
23%
Barra Mansa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: 7 de Abril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • 7 de Abril's 1.33 goals per match outpaces what Barra Mansa have produced (0.87).
  • Model gives 7 de Abril a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and 7 de Abril have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
7 de Abril Clean Sheet 20%
Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 7 de Abril Barra Mansa
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.33 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 0.87
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Carioca B2
Barra Mansa vs 7 de Abril
1:4
Oct 13, 2025 Carioca B2
7 de Abril vs Barra Mansa
2:1
Nov 11, 2024 Carioca B2
7 de Abril vs Barra Mansa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

7 de Abril Compare

Top Goalscorer Meirelles L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Barra Mansa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

7 de Abril 85 / 100
Barra Mansa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
7 de Abril Barra Mansa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 7 de Abril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

7 de Abril scored in 63% of their last 24 games.

Barra Mansa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

7 de Abril has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

7 de Abril VS Barra Mansa
1.29 Goals Scored 0.88
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

7 de Abril

(Home)
27 Sept
Campos AA
1 : 2
7 de Abril
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
07 Sept
7 de Abril
2 : 2
Serra Macaense
30 Aug
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 0
7 de Abril
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Barra Mansa

(Away)
01 Oct
FC Rio de Janeiro
2 : 0
Barra Mansa
28 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 0
Buzios
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
06 Sept
Friburguense
0 : 0
Barra Mansa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)