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7 de Abril vs Bonsucesso

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Matheus Carioca

AI Match Summary

Bonsucesso in this Carioca B2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bonsucesso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
7 de Abril
30%
Draws
37%
Bonsucesso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bonsucesso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bonsucesso lately — more wins on the board than 7 de Abril.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on 7 de Abril taking it.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
7 de Abril Clean Sheet 68%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 7 de Abril Bonsucesso
Matches Played 22 47
Wins 5 17
Draws 7 13
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.32 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.98
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2024 Carioca B2
7 de Abril vs Bonsucesso
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

7 de Abril Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bonsucesso Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Carioca
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

7 de Abril 68 / 100
Bonsucesso 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
7 de Abril Bonsucesso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 7 de Abril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonsucesso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 47 matches.

7 de Abril has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: 7 de Abril scored in 59% of their last 22 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

7 de Abril VS Bonsucesso
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

7 de Abril

(Home)
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
07 Sept
7 de Abril
2 : 2
Serra Macaense
30 Aug
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 0
7 de Abril
09 Nov
Macae
2 : 0
7 de Abril
06 Nov
7 de Abril
6 : 2
FC Rio de Janeiro
Page 1 of 5

Bonsucesso

(Away)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)