Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
Thu, Sep 17, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tomayapo host Oriente Petrolero in the Division Profesional. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Tomayapo have averaged 1.11 scored and 2.14 conceded recently, against Oriente Petrolero's 1.86 scored and 1.57 conceded. Head-to-head, Tomayapo have won 1 to Oriente Petrolero's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 2.00) point toward Oriente Petrolero. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tomayapo
15%
Draws
45%
Oriente Petrolero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oriente Petrolero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oriente Petrolero come out ahead of Tomayapo on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Oriente Petrolero have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 10%
Oriente Petrolero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tomayapo Oriente Petrolero
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.11 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division Profesional
Oriente Petrolero vs Tomayapo
3:1
Mar 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Oriente Petrolero vs Tomayapo
5:1
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero
1:3
Dec 3, 2025 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Division Profesional
Oriente Petrolero vs Tomayapo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tomayapo 30 / 100
Oriente Petrolero 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tomayapo Oriente Petrolero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oriente Petrolero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tomayapo scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Oriente Petrolero let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Tomayapo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tomayapo VS Oriente Petrolero
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tomayapo

(Home)
10 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 0
Always Ready
06 Sept
The Strongest
3 : 1
Tomayapo
03 Sept
Nacional Potosi
5 : 1
Tomayapo
01 Sept
Tomayapo
3 : 0
Independiente
26 Aug
Real Potosi
0 : 1
Tomayapo
Page 1 of 6

Oriente Petrolero

(Away)
09 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0
Guabira
05 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 2
Always Ready
30 Aug
Blooming
0 : 3
Oriente Petrolero
25 Aug
GV San Jose
3 : 3
Oriente Petrolero
22 Aug
Oriente Petrolero
4 : 0
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 18 12 3 3 48:19 39
2 Always Ready 18 11 6 1 37:13 39
3 The Strongest 18 10 6 2 32:21 36
4 Aurora 19 7 9 3 30:24 30
5 Real Potosi 19 7 8 4 25:14 29
6 Oriente Petrolero 19 8 3 8 34:27 27
7 Guabira 18 7 5 6 29:32 26
8 Independiente 18 7 4 7 25:29 25
9 Nacional Potosi 18 7 3 8 27:24 24
10 Blooming 18 5 8 5 23:20 23
11 Real Oruro 18 6 3 9 32:43 21
12 Academia del Balompie 18 6 2 10 29:37 20
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 19 5 2 12 18:39 17
14 Tomayapo 18 4 4 10 14:35 16
15 GV San Jose 18 2 8 8 19:30 14
16 Club Universitario de Vinto 18 4 2 12 22:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)