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7 de Abril vs Friburguense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Fri, Oct 2, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

7 de Abril host Friburguense in the Carioca B2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: 7 de Abril at 1.33 goals for, 1.33 against; Friburguense at 0.79 for, 0.83 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.31, favoring 7 de Abril. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
7 de Abril
30%
Draws
37%
Friburguense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Friburguense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Friburguense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 7 de Abril are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
7 de Abril Clean Sheet 18%
Friburguense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 7 de Abril Friburguense
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.33 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

7 de Abril 41 / 100
Friburguense 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
7 de Abril Friburguense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

7 de Abril scored in 63% of their last 24 games.

Defensive concern: Friburguense conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

7 de Abril went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

7 de Abril VS Friburguense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

7 de Abril

(Home)
27 Sept
Campos AA
1 : 2
7 de Abril
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
07 Sept
7 de Abril
2 : 2
Serra Macaense
30 Aug
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 0
7 de Abril
Page 1 of 5

Friburguense

(Away)
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 0
Campos AA
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
06 Sept
Friburguense
0 : 0
Barra Mansa
30 Aug
Serra Macaense
0 : 1
Friburguense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 5 4 0 1 9:2 12
2 Cardoso Moreira 5 4 0 1 7:2 12
3 Friburguense 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
4 Paduano EC 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 7 de Abril 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
6 Serra Macaense 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
7 Belford Roxo 5 1 3 1 9:6 6
8 Barra Mansa 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
9 Campos AA 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
11 Paraty 5 0 0 5 2:14 0
12 Buzios 5 0 0 5 1:13 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)