Sport Picks

Stadium Background

9 de Julio Rafaela vs Bartolome Mitre

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal El Coloso, Rafaela
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
45'
45' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between 9 de Julio Rafaela and Bartolome Mitre finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bartolome Mitre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
9 de Julio Rafaela
15%
Draws
21%
Bartolome Mitre
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 9 de Julio Rafaela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and 9 de Julio Rafaela come out ahead of Bartolome Mitre on wins alone.
  • Model gives 9 de Julio Rafaela a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 68%
Bartolome Mitre Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 9 de Julio Rafaela Bartolome Mitre
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.52 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Bartolome Mitre
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

9 de Julio Rafaela Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bartolome Mitre Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

9 de Julio Rafaela 95 / 100
Bartolome Mitre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
9 de Julio Rafaela Bartolome Mitre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 9 de Julio Rafaela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: 9 de Julio Rafaela scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

9 de Julio Rafaela went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bartolome Mitre's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Bartolome Mitre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

9 de Julio Rafaela VS Bartolome Mitre
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

9 de Julio Rafaela

(Home)
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1
Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4
9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
23 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 1
9 de Julio Rafaela
12 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Page 1 of 7

Bartolome Mitre

(Away)
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1
Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0
Bartolome Mitre
23 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 3
Douglas Haig
16 Aug
Sol de America
2 : 1
Bartolome Mitre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 7 5 1 1 14:5 16
2 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 7 4 2 1 6:2 14
3 Sol de America 7 4 1 2 8:6 13
4 Douglas Haig 7 3 2 2 12:7 11
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 7 3 2 2 8:5 11
6 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 7 3 1 3 4:3 10
7 Sarmiento de La Banda 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
8 Sportivo Belgrano 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
9 Bartolome Mitre 7 1 1 5 3:10 4
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 8 4 3 1 10:7 15
2 Alvarado 7 4 2 1 9:4 14
3 Biblioteca Atenas 7 4 1 2 12:9 13
4 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 7 3 3 1 6:3 12
5 Argentino MM 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
6 Kimberley 7 3 1 3 8:6 10
7 Villa Mitre 7 2 3 2 5:4 9
8 Huracan Las Heras 7 1 1 5 2:8 4
9 Juventud Antoniana 8 0 2 6 1:12 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)