Sport Picks
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal El Coloso, Rafaela 
Match Events
1'
1'
Troncoso L.
18'
18'
Acuna S.
31'
31'
Salcedo A.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between 9 de Julio Rafaela and Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 9 de Julio Rafaela.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo have managed 1.14 goals a game lately — 9 de Julio Rafaela are scoring more at 1.43.
- Model gives 9 de Julio Rafaela a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 68%
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1:0
Jul 13, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1:2
May 10, 2026 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
0:0
May 18, 2025 Torneo Federal
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
0:1
Mar 16, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
9 de Julio Rafaela Compare
Top Goalscorer Troncoso L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
9 de Julio Rafaela 50 / 100
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
9 de Julio Rafaela Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick 9 de Julio Rafaela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
9 de Julio Rafaela scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.
Solid form: 9 de Julio Rafaela remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
9 de Julio Rafaela VS Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
9 de Julio Rafaela
(Home) 20 Sept
Sol de America
1 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1 Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4 9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
23 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1 Bartolome Mitre
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
12 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
02 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 0 Douglas Haig
13 Jul
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 3
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
(Away) 04 Oct
Alvarado
2 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2 Alvarado
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0 San Martin Formosa
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Alvarado
2 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
17 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
08 Aug
Sol de America
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Douglas Haig | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 12 |
| 7 | Bartolome Mitre | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 8 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 9 | Sportivo Belgrano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:14 | 5 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvarado | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Cipolletti | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Biblioteca Atenas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Kimberley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Argentino MM | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan Las Heras | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
