Sport Picks

Stadium Background

9 de Julio Rafaela vs Deportivo Rincon

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 El Coloso
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Avila C.
16' Event
Ibanez M.
31'
Salcedo A.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal 2025 game between 9 de Julio Rafaela and Deportivo Rincon finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 9 de Julio Rafaela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
9 de Julio Rafaela
39%
Draws
31%
Deportivo Rincon
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • 9 de Julio Rafaela carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Rincon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 9 de Julio Rafaela Deportivo Rincon
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Deportivo Rincon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

9 de Julio Rafaela Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibanez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Deportivo Rincon Compare

Top Goalscorer Avila C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

9 de Julio Rafaela 41 / 100
Deportivo Rincon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
9 de Julio Rafaela Deportivo Rincon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 9DE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

9 de Julio Rafaela's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Deportivo Rincon conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Deportivo Rincon registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

9 de Julio Rafaela VS Deportivo Rincon
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Villa Mitre2
Guillermo Brown4
TBD-
Sportivo Belgrano-
Cipolletti0
Kimberley1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca2
Juventud U.U.0
Independiente Chivilcoy3
Douglas Haig4
Argentino MM-
TBD-
Juventud Antoniana3
Boca Unidos2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy3
El Linqueno2
9 de Julio Rafaela6
Germinal1
Deportivo Rincon5
Sportivo Las Parejas2
Costa Brava1
Bartolome Mitre1
San Martin Formosa2
Sol de Mayo2
Biblioteca Atenas5
Sarmiento Resistencia0
Sarmiento de La Banda1
San Martin Mendoza1
1/8-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
Guillermo Brown2
Sportivo Belgrano1
Kimberley2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca4
Douglas Haig3
Argentino MM1
Juventud Antoniana1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy2
9 de Julio Rafaela2
Deportivo Rincon1
Costa Brava2
San Martin Formosa3
Biblioteca Atenas2
Sarmiento de La Banda0
Quarter-finals
Atl. Rafaela3
Guillermo Brown1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca0
Douglas Haig6
Gimnasia Chivilcoy1
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa4
Biblioteca Atenas1
Semi-finals
Atl. Rafaela4
Douglas Haig2
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa5
Final
Atl. Rafaela2
San Martin Formosa0