Sport Picks
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Germinal
Argentina
Torneo Federal 2025 El Coloso, Rafaela 
Match Events
6'
6'
Ibanez M.
(Penalty)
19'
19'
Peralta B.
61'
61'
Sub
Moron G. In: Veloso L.
Out: Moron G.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-0, with 9 de Julio Rafaela advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- 9 de Julio Rafaela carry the better recent record into this one.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- 9 de Julio Rafaela have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor 9 de Julio Rafaela, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 68%
Germinal Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | Germinal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 12, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Germinal
5:0
Oct 5, 2025 Torneo Federal
Germinal vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
9 de Julio Rafaela Compare
Top Goalscorer Peralta B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abondetto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Germinal Compare
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
9 de Julio Rafaela 41 / 100
Germinal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
9 de Julio Rafaela Germinal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick 9DE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
9 de Julio Rafaela's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Germinal conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
9 de Julio Rafaela has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
9 de Julio Rafaela VS Germinal
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
9 de Julio Rafaela
(Home) 13 Jul
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
05 Jul
Gimnasia E.R.
3 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
28 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
22 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
3 : 2 El Linqueno
13 Jun
Atletico Escobar
2 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
Page 1 of 6
13 Jul
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
28 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
22 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
3 : 2 El Linqueno
07 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
2 : 2 Sportivo Las Parejas
24 May
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 2 Sportivo Belgrano
Page 1 of 3
Germinal
(Away) 12 Jul
Germinal
0 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
05 Jul
Alvarado
5 : 0 Germinal
28 Jun
Germinal
1 : 0 Santamarina
14 Jun
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Germinal
07 Jun
Germinal
0 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Alvarado
5 : 0 Germinal
14 Jun
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Germinal
30 May
Kimberley
1 : 0 Germinal
10 May
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 0 Germinal
25 Apr
Santamarina
0 : 0 Germinal
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Villa Mitre2
Guillermo Brown4
TBD-
Sportivo Belgrano-
Cipolletti0
Kimberley1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca2
Juventud U.U.0
Independiente Chivilcoy3
Douglas Haig4
Argentino MM-
TBD-
Juventud Antoniana3
Boca Unidos2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy3
El Linqueno2
9 de Julio Rafaela6
Germinal1
Deportivo Rincon5
Sportivo Las Parejas2
Costa Brava1
Bartolome Mitre1
San Martin Formosa2
Sol de Mayo2
Biblioteca Atenas5
Sarmiento Resistencia0
Sarmiento de La Banda1
San Martin Mendoza1
1/8-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
Guillermo Brown2
Sportivo Belgrano1
Kimberley2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca4
Douglas Haig3
Argentino MM1
Juventud Antoniana1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy2
9 de Julio Rafaela2
Deportivo Rincon1
Costa Brava2
San Martin Formosa3
Biblioteca Atenas2
Sarmiento de La Banda0
Quarter-finals
Atl. Rafaela3
Guillermo Brown1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca0
Douglas Haig6
Gimnasia Chivilcoy1
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa4
Biblioteca Atenas1
Semi-finals
Atl. Rafaela4
Douglas Haig2
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa5
Final
Atl. Rafaela2
San Martin Formosa0