Sport Picks
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Argentina
Torneo Federal 2025 El Coloso, Rafaela 
Match Events
19'
19'
23'
23'
Macies T.
27'
27'
Almada J.
AI Match Summary
9 de Julio Rafaela in this Torneo Federal 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to 9 de Julio Rafaela lately — more wins on the board than Gimnasia Chivilcoy.
- Win probability leans Gimnasia Chivilcoy's way, sitting at 50%.
- 9 de Julio Rafaela have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor 9 de Julio Rafaela, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 19%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | Gimnasia Chivilcoy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
9 de Julio Rafaela Compare
Top Goalscorer Del Sole N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
9 de Julio Rafaela 24 / 100
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
9 de Julio Rafaela Gimnasia Chivilcoy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: 9 de Julio Rafaela scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Gimnasia Chivilcoy let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
9 de Julio Rafaela went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
9 de Julio Rafaela VS Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
9 de Julio Rafaela
(Home) 13 Jul
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
05 Jul
Gimnasia E.R.
3 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
28 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
22 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
3 : 2 El Linqueno
13 Jun
Atletico Escobar
2 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
Page 1 of 6
13 Jul
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
28 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
22 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
3 : 2 El Linqueno
07 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
2 : 2 Sportivo Las Parejas
24 May
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 2 Sportivo Belgrano
Page 1 of 3
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
(Away) 12 Jul
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0 : 0 Gimnasia E.R.
05 Jul
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0 El Linqueno
28 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Jun
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Atletico Escobar
13 Jun
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
13 Jun
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
31 May
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
10 May
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
03 May
El Linqueno
1 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Villa Mitre2
Guillermo Brown4
TBD-
Sportivo Belgrano-
Cipolletti0
Kimberley1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca2
Juventud U.U.0
Independiente Chivilcoy3
Douglas Haig4
Argentino MM-
TBD-
Juventud Antoniana3
Boca Unidos2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy3
El Linqueno2
9 de Julio Rafaela6
Germinal1
Deportivo Rincon5
Sportivo Las Parejas2
Costa Brava1
Bartolome Mitre1
San Martin Formosa2
Sol de Mayo2
Biblioteca Atenas5
Sarmiento Resistencia0
Sarmiento de La Banda1
San Martin Mendoza1
1/8-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
Guillermo Brown2
Sportivo Belgrano1
Kimberley2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca4
Douglas Haig3
Argentino MM1
Juventud Antoniana1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy2
9 de Julio Rafaela2
Deportivo Rincon1
Costa Brava2
San Martin Formosa3
Biblioteca Atenas2
Sarmiento de La Banda0
Quarter-finals
Atl. Rafaela3
Guillermo Brown1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca0
Douglas Haig6
Gimnasia Chivilcoy1
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa4
Biblioteca Atenas1
Semi-finals
Atl. Rafaela4
Douglas Haig2
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa5
Final
Atl. Rafaela2
San Martin Formosa0