Sport Picks

Stadium Background

9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia E.R. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal El Coloso, Rafaela
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: 9 de Julio Rafaela at 1.4 goals for, 1.3 against; Gimnasia E.R. at 0.82 for, 0.82 against. Head-to-head, 9 de Julio Rafaela have won 3 to Gimnasia E.R.'s 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.00, favoring 9 de Julio Rafaela. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
9 de Julio Rafaela
20%
Draws
40%
Gimnasia E.R.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and 9 de Julio Rafaela come out ahead of Gimnasia E.R. on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on 9 de Julio Rafaela taking it.
  • 9 de Julio Rafaela have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor 9 de Julio Rafaela, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 20%
Gimnasia E.R. Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 9 de Julio Rafaela Gimnasia E.R.
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.4 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia E.R. vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
3:0
May 3, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia E.R.
4:1
Jun 1, 2025 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia E.R. vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia E.R.
2:0
Jul 7, 2024 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia E.R.
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

9 de Julio Rafaela 58 / 100
Gimnasia E.R. 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
9 de Julio Rafaela Gimnasia E.R.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 9 de Julio Rafaela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

9 de Julio Rafaela found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: 9 de Julio Rafaela remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gimnasia E.R. has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

9 de Julio Rafaela VS Gimnasia E.R.
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

9 de Julio Rafaela

(Home)
20 Sept
Sol de America
1 : 1
9 de Julio Rafaela
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1
Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4
9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
23 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 1
9 de Julio Rafaela
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia E.R.

(Away)
19 Sept
Sportivo Las Parejas
1 : 0
Gimnasia E.R.
13 Sept
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0
Sarmiento Resistencia
06 Sept
Boca Unidos
1 : 0
Gimnasia E.R.
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0
Independiente Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Atletico Escobar
0 : 2
Gimnasia E.R.
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bartolome Mitre -
Boca Unidos -
Gimnasia Chivilcoy -
Defensores de Vilelas -
Sarmiento de La Banda -
Sportivo Belgrano -
TBD -
TBD -
Huracan Las Heras 0
Juventud Antoniana 3
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo -
Sportivo Las Parejas -
Argentino MM 2
San Martin Mendoza 0
Douglas Haig -
El Linqueno -
Kimberley -
Deportivo Rincon -
Sol de America -
Juventud U.U. -
Villa Mitre -
Costa Brava -
Biblioteca Atenas -
Fundacion Amigos -
9 de Julio Rafaela -
Gimnasia E.R. -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -