Sport Picks
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina
Torneo Federal El Coloso, Rafaela 
Match Events
35'
35'
Bravo N.
38'
38'
Lesman G.
43'
43'
Ferrero G.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between 9 de Julio Rafaela and Sportivo Belgrano finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sportivo Belgrano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sportivo Belgrano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- 9 de Julio Rafaela carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Sportivo Belgrano a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 16%
Sportivo Belgrano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | Sportivo Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano
0:2
Mar 21, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Belgrano vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
3:0
Sep 1, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano
0:0
Jun 7, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano
3:1
Apr 7, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Belgrano vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
9 de Julio Rafaela Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Sportivo Belgrano Compare
Top Goalscorer Lesman G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
9 de Julio Rafaela 23 / 100
Sportivo Belgrano 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
9 de Julio Rafaela Sportivo Belgrano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CLU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: 9 de Julio Rafaela scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Sportivo Belgrano conceded in 50% of 32 recent games.
Solid form: 9 de Julio Rafaela remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
9 de Julio Rafaela VS Sportivo Belgrano
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
9 de Julio Rafaela
(Home) 26 Jul
Douglas Haig
2 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
13 Jul
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
05 Jul
Gimnasia E.R.
3 : 0 9 de Julio Rafaela
28 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
22 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
3 : 2 El Linqueno
Page 1 of 7
13 Jul
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
28 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
22 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
3 : 2 El Linqueno
07 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
2 : 2 Sportivo Las Parejas
24 May
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 2 Sportivo Belgrano
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Belgrano
(Away) 24 Jul
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 2 Atletico Escobar
12 Jul
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
05 Jul
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 1 Independiente Chivilcoy
28 Jun
El Linqueno
1 : 1 Sportivo Belgrano
20 Jun
Douglas Haig
0 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
Page 1 of 7
12 Jul
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
28 Jun
El Linqueno
1 : 1 Sportivo Belgrano
20 Jun
Douglas Haig
0 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
07 Jun
Gimnasia E.R.
1 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
24 May
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 2 Sportivo Belgrano
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
