Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A. Asteras vs Kavala

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A. Asteras in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored A. Asteras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
A. Asteras
20%
Draws
40%
Kavala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kavala lately — more wins on the board than A. Asteras.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kavala have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
A. Asteras Clean Sheet 20%
Kavala Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Asteras Kavala
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
A. Asteras vs Kavala
1:0
Jan 8, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kavala vs A. Asteras
4:2
Oct 28, 2009 Greek Cup
A. Asteras vs Kavala
0:3
Mar 14, 2009 Football League
Kavala vs A. Asteras
4:1
Nov 9, 2008 Football League
A. Asteras vs Kavala
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Asteras 32 / 100
Kavala 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Asteras Kavala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

A. Asteras's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kavala has conceded goals in 66% of their last 41 outings.

Solid form: A. Asteras remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kavala
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Asteras

(Home)
30 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 2
Panthrakikos
23 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 0
M. Alexandros Orfaniou
19 Apr
Chrisoupolis
4 : 1
A. Asteras
08 Apr
A. Asteras
0 : 3
Doxa Dramas
02 Apr
Aris Avatou
0 : 1
A. Asteras
Page 1 of 6

Kavala

(Away)
26 Apr
Kavala
2 : 2
Chrisoupolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
18 Apr
Giannina
3 : 1
Kavala
08 Apr
Kampaniakos
2 : 0
Kavala
05 Apr
Kavala
2 : 1
PAOK B
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kampaniakos 28 17 8 3 50:19 59
2 Kavala 28 16 7 5 55:23 55
3 Poseidonas Michanionas 28 16 5 7 40:29 53
4 Doxa Dramas 28 14 7 7 52:32 49
5 Apollon Paralimniou 28 13 8 7 49:32 47
6 Panthrakikos 28 13 8 7 44:36 47
7 Chrisoupolis 28 11 8 9 38:34 41
8 Aris Avatou 28 13 2 13 29:35 41
9 Thermaikos FC 28 10 10 8 26:26 40
10 Pandramaikos 28 11 4 13 43:35 37
11 Vyron Kavala 28 7 11 10 36:37 32
12 A. Asteras 28 7 9 12 26:41 30
13 Orfeas Xanthi 28 8 6 14 31:49 30
14 Alexandroupoli FC 28 2 7 19 17:52 13
15 M. Alexandros Orfaniou 28 0 4 24 12:68 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)