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A. Asteras vs Orfeas Xanthi

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 game between A. Asteras and Orfeas Xanthi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A. Asteras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
A. Asteras
15%
Draws
0%
Orfeas Xanthi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: A. Asteras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Orfeas Xanthi's 1.03 goals per match outpaces what A. Asteras have produced (0.97).
  • A. Asteras are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and A. Asteras have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
A. Asteras Clean Sheet 68%
Orfeas Xanthi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Asteras Orfeas Xanthi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
A. Asteras vs Orfeas Xanthi
1:0
Dec 11, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Orfeas Xanthi vs A. Asteras
1:1
Feb 20, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Orfeas Xanthi vs A. Asteras
0:1
Nov 20, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
A. Asteras vs Orfeas Xanthi
4:1
Aug 29, 2021 Greek Cup
Orfeas Xanthi vs A. Asteras
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Asteras 95 / 100
Orfeas Xanthi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Asteras Orfeas Xanthi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Asteras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orfeas Xanthi let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Orfeas Xanthi's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: A. Asteras scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

A. Asteras VS Orfeas Xanthi
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Asteras

(Home)
30 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 2
Panthrakikos
23 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 0
M. Alexandros Orfaniou
19 Apr
Chrisoupolis
4 : 1
A. Asteras
08 Apr
A. Asteras
0 : 3
Doxa Dramas
02 Apr
Aris Avatou
0 : 1
A. Asteras
Page 1 of 6

Orfeas Xanthi

(Away)
23 Apr
Doxa Dramas
6 : 0
Orfeas Xanthi
19 Apr
Orfeas Xanthi
0 : 1
Aris Avatou
12 Apr
Kavala
3 : 1
Orfeas Xanthi
08 Apr
Orfeas Xanthi
1 : 2
Poseidonas Michanionas
02 Apr
Pandramaikos
5 : 1
Orfeas Xanthi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kampaniakos 28 17 8 3 50:19 59
2 Kavala 28 16 7 5 55:23 55
3 Poseidonas Michanionas 28 16 5 7 40:29 53
4 Doxa Dramas 28 14 7 7 52:32 49
5 Apollon Paralimniou 28 13 8 7 49:32 47
6 Panthrakikos 28 13 8 7 44:36 47
7 Chrisoupolis 28 11 8 9 38:34 41
8 Aris Avatou 28 13 2 13 29:35 41
9 Thermaikos FC 28 10 10 8 26:26 40
10 Pandramaikos 28 11 4 13 43:35 37
11 Vyron Kavala 28 7 11 10 36:37 32
12 A. Asteras 28 7 9 12 26:41 30
13 Orfeas Xanthi 28 8 6 14 31:49 30
14 Alexandroupoli FC 28 2 7 19 17:52 13
15 M. Alexandros Orfaniou 28 0 4 24 12:68 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)