Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Barracas Central

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A. Italiano play Barracas Central in the Copa Sudamericana. It looks like a close match. Recently, A. Italiano averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Barracas Central averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, A. Italiano won 1, Barracas Central won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 19, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.59 for A. Italiano and 1.05 for Barracas Central. This points to a A. Italiano double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

A. Italiano

29%

Draws

32%

Barracas Central

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: A. Italiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

A. Italiano picked up more points recently compared to Barracas Central.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.59 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

A. Italiano Clean Sheet 22%

Barracas Central Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	A. Italiano	Barracas Central
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	11	9
Draws	6	11
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.48	0.87
Goals Conceded	1.59	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

A. Italiano vs Barracas Central

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Barracas Central vs A. Italiano

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Italiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pina D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Coelho D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Barracas Central Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55

Avg xA / game 0.33

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Italiano 40 / 100

Barracas Central 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

A. Italiano Barracas Central

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: A. Italiano or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

A. Italiano attacking → ← attacking Barracas Central

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Italiano scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Barracas Central let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

A. Italiano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Barracas Central lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 38

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.60

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.80

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Macara	6	2	4	0	6:3	10
2	Tigre	6	2	3	1	8:5	9
3	America De Cali	6	2	3	1	6:5	9
4	Alianza Atl.	6	0	2	4	2:9	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico-MG	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
2	Cienciano	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
3	Juventud	6	1	4	1	10:7	7
4	Academia Puerto Cabello	6	2	1	3	6:9	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Paulo	6	3	3	0	6:1	12
2	O Higgins	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
3	Millonarios	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
4	Boston River	6	1	0	5	5:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Recoleta	6	1	5	0	6:5	8
2	Santos	6	1	4	1	8:6	7
3	San Lorenzo	6	1	4	1	6:5	7
4	Dep. Cuenca	6	1	3	2	3:7	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Botafogo RJ	6	5	1	0	15:5	16
2	Caracas	6	2	3	1	9:9	9
3	Racing Club	6	2	2	2	11:9	8
4	Independiente	6	0	0	6	3:15	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Montevideo City	6	4	1	1	11:5	13
2	Gremio	6	3	2	1	8:3	11
3	Deportivo Riestra	6	1	2	3	4:10	5
4	Palestino	6	0	3	3	1:6	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpia Asuncion	6	4	1	1	10:6	13
2	Vasco	6	3	1	2	10:6	10
3	A. Italiano	6	2	1	3	7:9	7
4	Barracas Central	6	0	3	3	2:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	River Plate	6	4	2	0	9:3	14
2	Bragantino	6	3	1	2	12:5	10
3	Carabobo	6	3	0	3	6:5	9
4	Blooming	6	0	1	5	3:17	1