Sport Picks
EC Juventude vs Vila Nova FC
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul 
Match Events
11'
11'
Mandaca
19'
19'
Sub
Ryan In: Bruno Xavier
Out: Ryan
45'
45'
Messias
Assist: Rai Silva
AI Match Summary
EC Juventude in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC Juventude.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Juventude
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vila Nova FC average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of EC Juventude's 1.07.
- Model gives EC Juventude a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 68%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | EC Juventude | Vila Nova FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.64 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 10, 2026 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Vila Nova FC
1:0
Aug 7, 2023 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Vila Nova FC
0:2
Apr 30, 2023 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs EC Juventude
1:0
Apr 9, 2021 Copa Betano do Brasil
Vila Nova FC vs EC Juventude
2:1
May 8, 2019 Copa Betano do Brasil
Vila Nova FC vs EC Juventude
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
EC Juventude Compare
Top Goalscorer Messias
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Vila Nova FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
EC Juventude 59 / 100
Vila Nova FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
EC Juventude Vila Nova FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EC Juventude Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
EC Juventude's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Vila Nova FC has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Solid form: EC Juventude remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
EC Juventude VS Vila Nova FC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
EC Juventude
(Home) 09 Aug
Novorizontino
0 : 1 EC Juventude
04 Aug
EC Juventude
0 : 1 Atletico-MG
01 Aug
Atletico-MG
0 : 0 EC Juventude
28 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0 Avai
24 Jul
Botafogo SP
4 : 2 EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
EC Juventude
0 : 1 Atletico-MG
28 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0 Avai
17 Jul
EC Juventude
2 : 0 Cuiaba
10 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0 Vila Nova FC
28 Jun
EC Juventude
2 : 0 Ceara
Page 1 of 3
Vila Nova FC
(Away) 15 Aug
Atletico GO
0 : 2 Vila Nova FC
08 Aug
Vila Nova FC
0 : 1 Sport Recife
27 Jul
CRB
2 : 0 Vila Nova FC
22 Jul
Vila Nova FC
2 : 1 Fortaleza
18 Jul
Criciuma
2 : 0 Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Atletico GO
0 : 2 Vila Nova FC
27 Jul
CRB
2 : 0 Vila Nova FC
18 Jul
Criciuma
2 : 0 Vila Nova FC
10 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0 Vila Nova FC
26 Jun
Novorizontino
2 : 1 Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 23:14 | 40 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 23:12 | 38 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 24:20 | 35 |
| 4 | Operario-PR | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 29:28 | 35 |
| 5 | Sport Recife | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 28:20 | 35 |
| 6 | Vila Nova FC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 27:25 | 34 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 32:20 | 33 |
| 8 | CRB | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Goias | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 22:26 | 32 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 24:21 | 32 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 21:18 | 31 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 30 |
| 13 | Botafogo SP | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:22 | 30 |
| 14 | Nautico | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:26 | 27 |
| 15 | Cuiaba | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 16:16 | 26 |
| 16 | Ceara | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:25 | 25 |
| 17 | Londrina | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 28:34 | 20 |
| 18 | Avai | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:28 | 20 |
| 19 | America MG | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 15:33 | 11 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16:42 | 10 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
