Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EC Juventude vs Vila Nova FC

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Mandaca
19'
Sub
Ryan In: Bruno Xavier
Out: Ryan
45' Event
Messias
Assist: Rai Silva

AI Match Summary

EC Juventude in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC Juventude.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
EC Juventude
6%
Draws
4%
Vila Nova FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: EC Juventude

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vila Nova FC average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of EC Juventude's 1.38.
  • Model gives EC Juventude a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 68%
Vila Nova FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Juventude Vila Nova FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Vila Nova FC
1:0
Aug 7, 2023 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Vila Nova FC
0:2
Apr 30, 2023 Serie B
Vila Nova FC vs EC Juventude
1:0
Apr 9, 2021 Copa Betano do Brasil
Vila Nova FC vs EC Juventude
2:1
May 8, 2019 Copa Betano do Brasil
Vila Nova FC vs EC Juventude
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Juventude Compare

Top Goalscorer Messias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Vila Nova FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Juventude 95 / 100
Vila Nova FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Juventude Vila Nova FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: EC Juventude stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: EC Juventude scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Vila Nova FC conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

EC Juventude VS Vila Nova FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma1796220:1233
2Vila Nova FC1794425:1931
3Operario-PR1794422:1831
4Novorizontino1786328:1630
5EC Juventude1785417:829
6Fortaleza1784520:1728
7Sao Bernardo1775523:1626
8Sport Recife1768321:1526
9Goias1774618:2325
10Atletico GO1766519:1924
11Cuiaba1759314:1124
12CRB1865728:3223
13Athletic Club1758416:1623
14Nautico1863922:2321
15Botafogo SP1755720:1820
16Londrina1754825:2519
17Ceara1746715:2018
18Avai1744918:2416
19Ponte Preta17221311:338
20America MG17141211:287