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A. Italiano vs U. De Chile Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida, Santiago de Chile
A. Italiano Logo

A. Italiano

1 - 3
FT
U. De Chile Logo

U. De Chile

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Arce A.
20'
Sub
Aedo N. In: Soto B.
Out: Aedo N.
23' Event
Guerrero Pena M. G.
Assist: Barrera L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
A. Italiano
20%
Draws
47%
U. De Chile
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: U. De Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • A. Italiano haven't matched U. De Chile's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans U. De Chile's way, sitting at 70%.
  • U. De Chile arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor U. De Chile, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
A. Italiano Clean Sheet 15%
U. De Chile Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Italiano U. De Chile
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 17
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.31 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Liga de Primera
A. Italiano vs U. De Chile
1:2
Jun 7, 2026 Copa de la Liga
U. De Chile vs A. Italiano
2:2
Mar 31, 2026 Copa de la Liga
A. Italiano vs U. De Chile
1:3
Jan 30, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. De Chile vs A. Italiano
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 Liga de Primera
U. De Chile vs A. Italiano
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Italiano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

U. De Chile Compare

Top Goalscorer Arce A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerrero Pena M. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Italiano 15 / 100
U. De Chile 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Italiano U. De Chile

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. De Chile Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: A. Italiano scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

U. De Chile's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

A. Italiano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

A. Italiano VS U. De Chile
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Italiano

(Home)
25 Sept
Colo Colo
1 : 0
A. Italiano
22 Sept
A. Italiano
0 : 0
Colo Colo
13 Sept
A. Italiano
1 : 0
O Higgins
05 Sept
D. Concepcion
0 : 1
A. Italiano
30 Aug
Colo Colo
5 : 1
A. Italiano
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U. De Chile

(Away)
27 Sept
U. De Chile
1 : 1
Everton
27 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. De Chile
13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3
U. De Chile
06 Sept
U. De Chile
4 : 2
Coquimbo
30 Aug
U. De Concepcion
2 : 1
U. De Chile
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Colo Colo 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 D. Concepcion 6 0 1 5 6:13 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 U. Catolica 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
4 Cobresal 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Higgins 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Everton 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Limache 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Palestino 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union La Calera 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 A. Italiano 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 U. De Chile 6 2 2 2 12:7 8
4 La Serena 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)