Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida, Santiago de Chile

A. Italiano

1 - 2

Vasco

Our Tip

Match Events

Saldivia A.

Own Goal

46'

Sub

Tche Tche In: Ramon Rique

Out: Tche Tche

46'

Sub

JP In: Matheus Franca

Out: JP

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

A. Italiano

20%

Draws

47%

Vasco

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Vasco come out ahead of A. Italiano on wins alone.
Win probability leans Vasco's way, sitting at 90%.
Vasco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Vasco, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

A. Italiano Clean Sheet 19%

Vasco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	A. Italiano	Vasco
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	13
Draws	10	8
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	1.27	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

A. Italiano vs Vasco

1:2

Apr 15, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Vasco vs A. Italiano

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Italiano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Vasco Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Franca

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Italiano 10 / 100

Vasco 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

A. Italiano Vasco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Italiano found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Vasco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

A. Italiano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

A. Italiano VS Vasco

0.75 Goals Scored 1.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25

38% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Italiano

(Home)

25 Sept

Colo Colo

1 : 0

A. Italiano

22 Sept

A. Italiano

0 : 0

Colo Colo

13 Sept

A. Italiano

1 : 0

O Higgins

05 Sept

D. Concepcion

0 : 1

A. Italiano

30 Aug

Colo Colo

5 : 1

A. Italiano

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Vasco

(Away)

19 Sept

Vasco

5 : 0

Coritiba

15 Sept

Vasco

2 : 0

Santa Fe

12 Sept

Gremio

1 : 2

Vasco

08 Sept

Santa Fe

0 : 0

Vasco

06 Sept

Fluminense

1 : 0

Vasco

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