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Bay FC W vs Orlando Pride W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NWSL Women PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
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Match Events

2' Event
McCutcheon H.
Assist: Washington S.
11' Event
Kundananji R.
Assist: Hutton C.
47' Event
McCutcheon H.
Assist: Angelina

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Bay FC W and Orlando Pride W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orlando Pride W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bay FC W
20%
Draws
51%
Orlando Pride W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orlando Pride W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Orlando Pride W come out ahead of Bay FC W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Orlando Pride W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Orlando Pride W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 16%
Orlando Pride W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bay FC W Orlando Pride W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Orlando Pride W
1:3
May 29, 2026 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Bay FC W
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Bay FC W
1:1
Jun 14, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Orlando Pride W
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Orlando Pride W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bay FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kundananji R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Orlando Pride W Compare

Top Goalscorer McCutcheon H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ovalle L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bay FC W 23 / 100
Orlando Pride W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bay FC W Orlando Pride W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orlando Pride W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bay FC W's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Orlando Pride W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Bay FC W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bay FC W VS Orlando Pride W
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bay FC W

(Home)
03 Oct
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1
Bay FC W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3
Orlando Pride W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0
Racing Louisville W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2
Bay FC W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0
Bay FC W
Page 1 of 6

Orlando Pride W

(Away)
03 Oct
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2
San Diego Wave W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3
Orlando Pride W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4
Portland Thorns FC W
12 Sept
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2
Orlando Pride W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)