Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A. Lima vs Atletico Grau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A. Lima host Atletico Grau in the Liga 1. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: A. Lima at 1.53 goals for, 0.9 against; Atletico Grau at 1.17 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor A. Lima slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.25) back A. Lima to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
A. Lima
20%
Draws
40%
Atletico Grau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to A. Lima lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Grau.
  • A. Lima are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Lima Atletico Grau
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs A. Lima
0:1
Oct 2, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Atletico Grau
2:1
May 10, 2025 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs A. Lima
1:1
Sep 18, 2024 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs A. Lima
1:0
Apr 15, 2024 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Atletico Grau
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Lima 50 / 100
Atletico Grau 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Lima Atletico Grau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Lima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: A. Lima scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Atletico Grau has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: A. Lima stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A. Lima VS Atletico Grau
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Lima

(Home)
11 Oct
Cusco
1 : 2
A. Lima
01 Oct
A. Lima
1 : 2
Palestino
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0
AD Tarma
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
A. Lima
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Grau

(Away)
08 Oct
Atletico Grau
0 : 0
Los Chankas
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2
Atletico Grau
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0
FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 11 7 1 3 21:10 22
2 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
3 Alianza Atl. 11 7 1 3 23:18 22
4 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
5 Universitario de Deportes 11 6 3 2 21:18 21
6 Juan Pablo II 11 5 4 2 21:13 19
7 FBC Melgar 11 5 4 2 18:11 19
8 A. Lima 11 5 4 2 16:11 19
9 Sport Boys 11 5 3 3 15:10 18
10 Cusco 11 6 0 5 20:16 18
11 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Comerciantes Unidos 11 2 4 5 18:19 10
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 11 1 3 7 7:21 6
18 Cajamarca 11 0 2 9 11:25 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)