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A. Lima vs Cajamarca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Antoni M.
45' Event
Gaibor F.
Assist: Castillo J.
46'
Sub
Huerto J. In: Arroyo A.
Out: Huerto J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between A. Lima and Cajamarca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A. Lima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
A. Lima
15%
Draws
0%
Cajamarca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: A. Lima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • A. Lima carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives A. Lima a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and A. Lima have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 68%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Lima Cajamarca
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 3
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Cajamarca
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs A. Lima
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Cajamarca
3:0
Jul 12, 2025 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs A. Lima
0:0
Oct 18, 2024 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs A. Lima
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Lima Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaibor F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Cajamarca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Lima 77 / 100
Cajamarca 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Lima Cajamarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Lima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Lima found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Cajamarca has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Cajamarca lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

A. Lima VS Cajamarca
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Lima

(Home)
01 Oct
A. Lima
1 : 2
Palestino
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0
AD Tarma
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
A. Lima
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 6

Cajamarca

(Away)
20 Sept
Sport Huancayo
3 : 2
Cajamarca
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2
Juan Pablo II
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Cajamarca
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4
Universitario de Deportes
25 Aug
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
2 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
3 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
4 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
5 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
14 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)