Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A. Lima vs Cajamarca

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Antoni M.
45' Event
Gaibor F.
Assist: Castillo J.
46'
Sub
Huerto J. In: Arroyo A.
Out: Huerto J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between A. Lima and Cajamarca finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A. Lima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
A. Lima
35%
Draws
25%
Cajamarca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: A. Lima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • A. Lima carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives A. Lima a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and A. Lima have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 68%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Lima Cajamarca
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Cajamarca
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs A. Lima
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Cajamarca
3:0
Jul 12, 2025 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs A. Lima
0:0
Oct 18, 2024 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs A. Lima
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Lima Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaibor F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cajamarca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Lima 95 / 100
Cajamarca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Lima Cajamarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Lima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Lima found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Cajamarca has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

A. Lima went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

A. Lima VS Cajamarca
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Lima

(Home)
09 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 1
A. Lima
02 Aug
A. Lima
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2
A. Lima
20 Jul
A. Lima
2 : 1
Sport Huancayo
12 Jul
A. Lima
0 : 2
Dep. Cali
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Cajamarca

(Away)
08 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 1
AD Tarma
01 Aug
Cusco
4 : 1
Cajamarca
26 Jul
Cajamarca
0 : 0
Moquegua
18 Jul
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Cajamarca
12 Jul
Cajamarca
4 : 1
ADA Jaen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lima 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
2 FBC Melgar 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
3 Cusco 5 3 0 2 12:7 9
4 Deportivo Garcilaso 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
5 Sport Huancayo 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Sporting Cristal 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
7 Sport Boys 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
8 Universitario de Deportes 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
9 Atletico Grau 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
10 Alianza Atl. 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
11 Los Chankas 5 2 1 2 6:9 7
12 Comerciantes Unidos 5 1 2 2 9:9 5
13 Juan Pablo II 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 FC Cajamarca 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
15 Moquegua 4 0 3 1 2:4 3
16 Cienciano 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
17 AD Tarma 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
18 Cajamarca 5 0 2 3 3:9 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)