Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A. Lima vs Cusco

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Gaibor F.
Assist: Castillo E.
17' Event
Castillo E.
Assist: Gaibor F.
33' Event
Gaibor F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between A. Lima and Cusco finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A. Lima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
A. Lima
30%
Draws
28%
Cusco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: A. Lima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A. Lima come out ahead of Cusco on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans A. Lima's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 68%
Cusco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Lima Cusco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 9 4
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Cusco
8:0
Jul 19, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs A. Lima
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Cusco
3:0
Nov 3, 2024 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Cusco
1:2
May 24, 2024 Liga 1
Cusco vs A. Lima
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Lima Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gaibor F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cusco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Lima 68 / 100
Cusco 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Lima Cusco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Lima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: A. Lima scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Cusco let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Recent resilience: A. Lima stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A. Lima VS Cusco
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Lima

(Home)
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
A. Lima
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0
Cajamarca
09 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 1
A. Lima
02 Aug
A. Lima
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2
A. Lima
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Cusco

(Away)
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Cusco
14 Aug
Cusco
2 : 0
Juan Pablo II
07 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
3 : 1
Cusco
01 Aug
Cusco
4 : 1
Cajamarca
25 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 1
Cusco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 34
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 34:22 33
4 Universitario de Deportes 17 8 5 4 24:15 29
5 FBC Melgar 17 8 4 5 29:20 28
6 Cusco 17 8 3 6 21:24 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21:18 26
8 Alianza Atl. 17 5 6 6 20:18 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18:20 21
10 AD Tarma 17 5 5 7 22:21 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28:30 19
13 Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 21:26 18
14 Moquegua 17 5 3 9 17:24 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 17
16 Atletico Grau 17 4 4 9 12:18 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 16
18 Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 16
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)