Sport Picks
A. Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima 
Match Events
29'
29'
Da Silva B.
(Penalty)
41'
41'
Castelli F.
45'
45'
Velez J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between A. Lima and Deportivo Garcilaso finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Garcilaso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Garcilaso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Deportivo Garcilaso carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Deportivo Garcilaso's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 16%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | A. Lima | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs A. Lima
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso
3:4
Apr 15, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs A. Lima
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs A. Lima
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
A. Lima 28 / 100
Deportivo Garcilaso 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
A. Lima Deportivo Garcilaso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Garcilaso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
A. Lima found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
Deportivo Garcilaso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: A. Lima remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
A. Lima VS Deportivo Garcilaso
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
A. Lima
(Home) 01 Oct
A. Lima
1 : 2 Palestino
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0 AD Tarma
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1 A. Lima
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
A. Lima
1 : 2 Palestino
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0 AD Tarma
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2 Universitario de Deportes
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 3
Deportivo Garcilaso
(Away) 10 Oct
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
16 Aug
Cienciano
0 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
02 Aug
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
