Sport Picks

Stadium Background

A. Lima vs Los Chankas

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Velez J.
Assist: Pavez E.
28' Event
Castillo E.
Assist: Huaman M.
46'
Sub
Quintana A. In: Guevara B.
Out: Quintana A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between A. Lima and Los Chankas finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A. Lima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
A. Lima
30%
Draws
23%
Los Chankas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: A. Lima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • A. Lima haven't matched Los Chankas's recent run of results.
  • A. Lima are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors A. Lima here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 68%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Lima Los Chankas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.41 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Los Chankas
3:0
Nov 5, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs A. Lima
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Los Chankas
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs A. Lima
0:1
Mar 29, 2024 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Los Chankas
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Lima Compare

Top Goalscorer Velez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castillo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Los Chankas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Lima 95 / 100
Los Chankas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Lima Los Chankas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Lima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

A. Lima found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Los Chankas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: A. Lima stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A. Lima VS Los Chankas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Lima

(Home)
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
23 Aug
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
A. Lima
16 Aug
A. Lima
1 : 0
Cajamarca
09 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 1
A. Lima
02 Aug
A. Lima
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 6

Los Chankas

(Away)
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4
Juan Pablo II
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0
Los Chankas
15 Aug
Los Chankas
0 : 3
FBC Melgar
07 Aug
Sport Huancayo
1 : 1
Los Chankas
31 Jul
Los Chankas
3 : 2
Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 34
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 34:22 33
4 Universitario de Deportes 17 8 5 4 24:15 29
5 FBC Melgar 17 8 4 5 29:20 28
6 Cusco 17 8 3 6 21:24 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21:18 26
8 Alianza Atl. 17 5 6 6 20:18 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18:20 21
10 AD Tarma 17 5 5 7 22:21 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28:30 19
13 Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 21:26 18
14 Moquegua 17 5 3 9 17:24 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 17
16 Atletico Grau 17 4 4 9 12:18 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 16
18 Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 16
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)