Sport Picks

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Dep. Cali W vs Orsomarso W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Castellanos D.
Assist: Cobos L.
27'
Cobos L.
45'
Iglesias A.

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cali W in this Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. Cali W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Dep. Cali W
15%
Draws
7%
Orsomarso W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Orsomarso W haven't matched Dep. Cali W's recent run of results.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Dep. Cali W taking it.
  • Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 68%
Orsomarso W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cali W Orsomarso W
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 26 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.82 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.61 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Orsomarso W
1:0
Sep 1, 2026 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Dep. Cali W
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Dep. Cali W
1:1
Aug 28, 2025 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Orsomarso W
0:1
Aug 5, 2025 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Dep. Cali W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Castellanos D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Orsomarso W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cali W 86 / 100
Orsomarso W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cali W Orsomarso W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cali W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dep. Cali W scored in 82% of their last 38 outings.

Orsomarso W let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Dep. Cali W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Orsomarso W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cali W VS Orsomarso W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cali W

(Home)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Atl. Nacional W
16 Sept
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 2
Dep. Cali W
12 Sept
Dep. Cali W
0 : 1
America de Cali W
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Orsomarso W

(Away)
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
09 Sept
America de Cali W
3 : 1
Orsomarso W
04 Sept
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Orsomarso W
01 Sept
Orsomarso W
0 : 0
Dep. Cali W
29 Aug
Orsomarso W
0 : 2
America de Cali W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Millonarios W 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
2 Atl. Nacional W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
3 Inter Palmira W 6 2 1 3 7:12 7
4 Inter Bogotá W 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
Promotion - Liga Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali W 6 3 2 1 6:2 11
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
3 America de Cali W 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
4 Orsomarso W 6 0 1 5 2:11 1
Promotion - Liga Women (Play Offs)