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Dominica vs Guyana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Mayagüez Athletics Stadium, Mayagüez
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Match Events

27' Event
De Rosario O.
40'
Edwards L.
41' Event
Glasgow O.

AI Match Summary

Guyana in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guyana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Dominica
15%
Draws
67%
Guyana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guyana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Guyana have won more games recently than Dominica.
  • Model gives Guyana a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Guyana have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Dominica Clean Sheet 11%
Guyana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dominica Guyana
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 19
Draws 7 1
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.23 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Guyana vs Dominica
8:1
Oct 1, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Dominica vs Guyana
1:5
Mar 27, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Guyana vs Dominica
2:0
Sep 3, 2014 Caribbean Cup
Dominica vs Guyana
0:0
Aug 8, 2008 Caribbean Cup
Guyana vs Dominica
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dominica Compare

Top Goalscorer Jules T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Guyana Compare

Top Goalscorer De Rosario O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Glasgow O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dominica 10 / 100
Guyana 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dominica Guyana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guyana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guyana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Dominica's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dominica has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dominica VS Guyana
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dominica

(Home)
04 Oct
Guyana
8 : 1
Dominica
01 Oct
Dominica
1 : 5
Guyana
28 Sept
Dominica
0 : 2
Puerto Rico
25 Sept
Cayman Islands
0 : 0
Dominica
21 Sept
Dominica
1 : 0
Anguilla
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Guyana

(Away)
04 Oct
Guyana
8 : 1
Dominica
01 Oct
Dominica
1 : 5
Guyana
27 Sept
Guyana
2 : 0
Cayman Islands
24 Sept
Puerto Rico
0 : 1
Guyana
30 Mar
Guyana
3 : 1
Belize
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