Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AA Carapebus vs 7 de Abril

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
dos Santos Barcelos P. V.
22' Event
dos Santos Barcelos P. V.
65' Event
Wilcon

AI Match Summary

AA Carapebus in this Carioca B2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AA Carapebus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AA Carapebus
20%
Draws
40%
7 de Abril
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • AA Carapebus have won more games recently than 7 de Abril.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 16%
7 de Abril Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Carapebus 7 de Abril
Matches Played 26 21
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.19 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2024 Carioca B2
AA Carapebus vs 7 de Abril
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AA Carapebus Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos Barcelos P. V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wilcon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

7 de Abril Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Carapebus 31 / 100
7 de Abril 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Carapebus 7 de Abril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 7 de Abril Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

7 de Abril's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 21 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: 7 de Abril registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

AA Carapebus scored in 58% of their last 26 games.

Scoring Trends

AA Carapebus VS 7 de Abril
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Carapebus

(Home)
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
08 Nov
AA Carapebus
0 : 2
Duque de Caxias
05 Nov
AA Carapebus
1 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Nov
Campo Grande
0 : 1
AA Carapebus
Page 1 of 6

7 de Abril

(Away)
07 Sept
7 de Abril
2 : 2
Serra Macaense
30 Aug
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 0
7 de Abril
09 Nov
Macae
2 : 0
7 de Abril
06 Nov
7 de Abril
6 : 2
FC Rio de Janeiro
02 Nov
Goytacaz
2 : 1
7 de Abril
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)