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AA Carapebus vs Mageense Prediction & H2H Stats

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Carioca B2 2024
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Match Events

15' Event
Daniel Pessoa
37' Event
Wilcon
42' Event
Maicon

AI Match Summary

AA Carapebus in this Carioca B2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AA Carapebus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AA Carapebus
20%
Draws
40%
Mageense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AA Carapebus lately — more wins on the board than Mageense.
  • Win probability leans AA Carapebus's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 20%
Mageense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Carapebus Mageense
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 1
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.11 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2024 Carioca B2
AA Carapebus vs Mageense
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AA Carapebus Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilcon
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maicon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Mageense Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Pessoa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Welton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Carapebus 42 / 100
Mageense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Carapebus Mageense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mageense let in goals in 94% of their last 18 matches.

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Mageense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

AA Carapebus's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

AA Carapebus VS Mageense
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Carapebus

(Home)
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
08 Nov
AA Carapebus
0 : 2
Duque de Caxias
Page 1 of 6

Mageense

(Away)
12 Jul
Mageense
:
EC Vera Cruz
06 Jul
EC Vera Cruz
:
Mageense
07 Jun
Barra Mansa
3 : 0
Mageense
01 Jun
Mageense
0 : 4
Rio Barra
24 May
Buzios
1 : 1
Mageense
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)