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Coban Imperial vs Malacateco Prediction & H2H Stats

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Verapaz, Cobán
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coban Imperial host Malacateco in the Liga Nacional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Coban Imperial have averaged 1.06 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Malacateco's 0.94 scored and 1.39 conceded. Past meetings favor Malacateco slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.56) point toward Coban Imperial. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Coban Imperial
35%
Draws
35%
Malacateco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Coban Imperial carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Coban Imperial a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 15%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coban Imperial Malacateco
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.06 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Coban Imperial
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Coban Imperial
2:0
Feb 24, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Malacateco
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Malacateco
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Coban Imperial
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coban Imperial 41 / 100
Malacateco 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coban Imperial Malacateco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malacateco has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Coban Imperial went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Coban Imperial scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Coban Imperial VS Malacateco
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Coban Imperial

(Home)
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Coban Imperial
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
06 Sept
Coban Imperial
0 : 1
Guastatoya
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Malacateco

(Away)
27 Sept
Marquense
1 : 0
Malacateco
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
06 Sept
Malacateco
2 : 0
Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
2 Guastatoya 11 7 1 3 17:12 22
3 Antigua 10 7 0 3 20:15 21
4 Deportivo San Pedro 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
5 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
6 Marquense 11 5 1 5 11:14 16
7 Xelaju 11 4 3 4 22:14 15
8 Aurora F.C. 11 4 0 7 16:19 12
9 Malacateco 11 3 3 5 12:17 12
10 Comunicaciones 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
11 Coban Imperial 11 2 4 5 13:18 10
12 Suchitepequez 11 1 3 7 11:23 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)