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Stadium Background

Coban Imperial vs Malacateco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Verapaz, Cobán
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Winter J.
18'
Castaneda J.
38'
Cabrera A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Coban Imperial and Malacateco finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coban Imperial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Coban Imperial
35%
Draws
20%
Malacateco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Coban Imperial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Coban Imperial carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Coban Imperial a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 68%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coban Imperial Malacateco
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Malacateco
2:0
Jul 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Coban Imperial
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Coban Imperial
2:0
Feb 24, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Malacateco
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Malacateco
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coban Imperial Compare

Top Goalscorer Winter J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valdez K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Malacateco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coban Imperial 95 / 100
Malacateco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coban Imperial Malacateco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coban Imperial Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coban Imperial has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Coban Imperial scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Malacateco let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Coban Imperial VS Malacateco
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coban Imperial

(Home)
03 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Malacateco
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Coban Imperial
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
Page 1 of 7

Malacateco

(Away)
03 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Malacateco
27 Sept
Marquense
1 : 0
Malacateco
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
3 Antigua 11 7 0 4 21:17 21
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
9 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
10 Aurora F.C. 12 4 0 8 17:21 12
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)