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AA Carapebus vs Paduano EC

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
AA Carapebus Logo

AA Carapebus

0 - 0
FT
Paduano EC Logo

Paduano EC

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Match Events

24'
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2025 game between AA Carapebus and Paduano EC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
AA Carapebus
20%
Draws
70%
Paduano EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paduano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Paduano EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Paduano EC's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 20%
Paduano EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Carapebus Paduano EC
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.11 1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Carioca B1
AA Carapebus vs Paduano EC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Carapebus 16 / 100
Paduano EC 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Carapebus Paduano EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paduano EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paduano EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 26 matches.

AA Carapebus found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

AA Carapebus went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AA Carapebus VS Paduano EC
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Carapebus

(Home)
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
08 Nov
AA Carapebus
0 : 2
Duque de Caxias
Page 1 of 6

Paduano EC

(Away)
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
13 Sept
Serra Macaense
1 : 2
Paduano EC
06 Sept
Paduano EC
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
30 Aug
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
Paduano EC
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 14:7 22
2 Sao Cristovao 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
3 Serrano FC 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Duque de Caxias 11 5 3 3 10:9 18
5 Niteroiense 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
6 Goncalense 11 5 1 5 11:9 16
7 Nova Cidade 11 4 4 3 9:9 16
8 Campo Grande 11 3 6 2 9:8 15
9 Artsul 11 3 4 4 11:10 13
10 AA Carapebus 11 3 3 5 6:13 12
11 Paduano EC 11 3 1 7 12:18 10
12 Friburguense 11 1 1 9 3:13 4
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)