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Cuba vs Bonaire

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League SKNFA technical centre, Basseterre
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AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Cuba and Bonaire finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cuba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Cuba
20%
Draws
17%
Bonaire
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Cuba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Cuba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cuba Clean Sheet 18%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuba Bonaire
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.18 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Cuba vs Bonaire
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuba 85 / 100
Bonaire 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuba Bonaire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonaire let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Cuba has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Cuba scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cuba VS Bonaire
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuba

(Home)
25 Sept
Grenada
0 : 3
Cuba
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
26 Mar
Martinique
2 : 2
Cuba
16 Nov
Martinique
0 : 2
Cuba
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0
Saint Lucia
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Bonaire

(Away)
26 Sept
Bonaire
1 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
27 Mar
Bonaire
3 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
15 Nov
Guyana
2 : 1
Bonaire
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