Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AA Carapebus vs Zinza Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
AA Carapebus Logo

AA Carapebus

2 - 1
FT
Zinza Logo

Zinza

Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Gabriel W.
65' Event
Maicon Marinho
90' Event
Elenilson
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AA Carapebus in this Carioca B2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AA Carapebus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
AA Carapebus
30%
Draws
62%
Zinza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zinza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • AA Carapebus have won more games recently than Zinza.
  • Model gives Zinza a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 13%
Zinza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Carapebus Zinza
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Carioca B2
AA Carapebus vs Zinza
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AA Carapebus Compare

Top Goalscorer Maicon Marinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Zinza Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Carapebus 11 / 100
Zinza 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Carapebus Zinza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zinza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: AA Carapebus scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Zinza conceded in 53% of 17 recent games.

AA Carapebus has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AA Carapebus VS Zinza
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Carapebus

(Home)
03 Oct
Macae
4 : 3
AA Carapebus
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
Page 1 of 6

Zinza

(Away)
14 Nov
Campo Grande
3 : 2
Zinza
10 Nov
Zinza
1 : 0
Bonsucesso
07 Nov
Uni Souza
0 : 4
Zinza
03 Nov
Zinza
0 : 0
Serra Macaense
28 Oct
Niteroiense
1 : 1
Zinza
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)