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AA Iguacu vs Iraty

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 3 game between AA Iguacu and Iraty finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AA Iguacu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
AA Iguacu
20%
Draws
29%
Iraty
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AA Iguacu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • AA Iguacu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AA Iguacu a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AA Iguacu Clean Sheet 20%
Iraty Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Iguacu Iraty
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Paranaense 3
AA Iguacu vs Iraty
1:0
Sep 6, 2026 Paranaense 3
Iraty vs AA Iguacu
1:1
Aug 23, 2026 Paranaense 3
Iraty vs AA Iguacu
2:0
Aug 9, 2026 Paranaense 3
AA Iguacu vs Iraty
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Iguacu 58 / 100
Iraty 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Iguacu Iraty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AA Iguacu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AA Iguacu's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Iraty conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: AA Iguacu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AA Iguacu VS Iraty
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Iguacu

(Home)
20 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 2
Parana S.T.C.
13 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 0
Iraty
06 Sept
Iraty
1 : 1
AA Iguacu
30 Aug
AA Iguacu
2 : 0
Samas
23 Aug
Iraty
2 : 0
AA Iguacu
Page 1 of 6

Iraty

(Away)
13 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 0
Iraty
06 Sept
Iraty
1 : 1
AA Iguacu
30 Aug
Iraty
1 : 4
Hope Internacional
23 Aug
Iraty
2 : 0
AA Iguacu
15 Aug
Samas
3 : 2
Iraty
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AA Iguacu 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Hope Internacional 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
3 Iraty 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
4 Samas 6 1 0 5 4:10 3
Promotion - Paranaense 3 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana S.T.C. 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
2 CA Cambe 6 3 1 2 3:3 10
3 City London 6 3 0 3 6:3 9
4 Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense 6 2 0 4 4:8 6
Promotion - Paranaense 3 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oeste Brasil 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
2 Uniao PR 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
3 Campo Mourao 4 0 2 2 2:6 2
Promotion - Paranaense 3 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams