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AA Iguacu vs Parana S.T.C.

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Flavio Rene
83' Event
Felipe Cabeleira

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 2 2025 game between AA Iguacu and Parana S.T.C. finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AA Iguacu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
AA Iguacu
15%
Draws
58%
Parana S.T.C.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parana S.T.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Parana S.T.C. haven't matched AA Iguacu's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Parana S.T.C. a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AA Iguacu have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AA Iguacu Clean Sheet 20%
Parana S.T.C. Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AA Iguacu Parana S.T.C.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.17 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Paranaense 3
AA Iguacu vs Parana S.T.C.
1:2
May 18, 2025 Paranaense 2
AA Iguacu vs Parana S.T.C.
2:0
Jun 3, 2023 Paranaense 2
Parana S.T.C. vs AA Iguacu
0:1
May 8, 2022 Paranaense 2
AA Iguacu vs Parana S.T.C.
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AA Iguacu Compare

Top Goalscorer Flavio Rene
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Cabeleira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Parana S.T.C. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AA Iguacu 28 / 100
Parana S.T.C. 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AA Iguacu Parana S.T.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parana S.T.C. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AA Iguacu scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Parana S.T.C. has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: AA Iguacu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AA Iguacu VS Parana S.T.C.
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AA Iguacu

(Home)
20 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 2
Parana S.T.C.
13 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 0
Iraty
06 Sept
Iraty
1 : 1
AA Iguacu
30 Aug
AA Iguacu
2 : 0
Samas
23 Aug
Iraty
2 : 0
AA Iguacu
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Parana S.T.C.

(Away)
20 Sept
AA Iguacu
1 : 2
Parana S.T.C.
12 Sept
Uniao PR
1 : 2
Parana S.T.C.
05 Sept
Parana S.T.C.
2 : 1
Uniao PR
30 Aug
Parana S.T.C.
1 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
22 Aug
City London
0 : 1
Parana S.T.C.
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galo Maringa 9 7 2 0 18:4 23
2 Paranavai-PR 9 5 2 2 16:6 17
3 Foz do Iguacu 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
4 Patriotas 9 4 1 4 9:15 13
5 Nacional PR 9 3 2 4 9:12 11
6 Batel 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
7 Laranja Mecanica 9 2 4 3 5:9 10
8 Toledo 9 2 3 4 6:13 9
9 AA Iguacu 9 1 3 5 10:14 6
10 Parana S.T.C. 9 1 3 5 7:12 6
Promotion - Paranaense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 (Main)